Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
563 FXUS65 KLKN 291008 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 308 AM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Dry yet breezy weather today with elevated fire weather condtions across east central Nevada. Upper trof and modest surface front bring isolated showers and thunderstorms to northern Nevada Sunday, with high pressure building over the Great Basin next week, bringing hot and dry weather. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday Night Southwesterly flow situated over the region today as an upper trof continues to progress from west to east, moving into the west coast. Weather remains dry though increasing gradients will bring breezes during the afternoon with gusts 25 to 30 mph, especially across central Nevada. Warmer temperatures are also expected with daytime highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s and overnight lows in the upper 40s to upper 50s. Upper trof and attendant frontal boundary move thru the region Sunday. This will bring isolated rain showers and dry thunderstorms to the northern half of Humboldt and Elko Counties during the afternoon. No significant rain accumulation is expected and main concerns will be gusty outflow winds due to convection and occasional lightning. Weather remains dry yet breezy across central Nevada with gusts again in the 25 to 30 mph range. Conditions become fairer overnight as the front progresses east and out of the forecast region. Look for daytime high temperatures Sunday in the low 80s to low 90s with overnight lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s. && .LONG TERM...Monday through next Saturday. Dry and storm-free conditions are expected across the CWA through the long term period. Trough energy brushing across northern NV on Monday will result in breezy afternoon and early evening winds, with W-NW winds of 10-20 mph gusting 20 to 30 mph for most of the CWA. Winds and gusts over the higher terrain of Elko county will be slightly higher late Monday afternoon, peaking out at 25 mph gusting to 35 mph. Temperatures will be near normal on Monday, with highs generally ranging from mid 80s to low 90s. Tuesday and Wednesday high pressure will gradually build in from the west, bringing lighter winds and near to slightly above normal temperatures. Thursday through Saturday high pressure will center over NV with high temperatures trending warmer. Most valley locations will warm into the 90s, with a handful of locations reaching up into the low 100s. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours at all terminals. Breezy winds from the S-SW expected to affect all TAF sites during the afternoon and evening, increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20-25 knots. && .FIRE WEATHER...Increased afternoon breezes today across the forecast area, with gusts 25 to 30 mph. Paired with minimum afternoon RH values near or less than 15%, produce elevated fire weather conditions, particularly across zones 427, 426 and 425. Dry thunderstorms expected along the Idaho and Oregon borders (northern half of zones 437, 438, 469, and 470) Sunday in response to an upper wave and modest surface boundary moving thru from the west/northwest. Afternoon wind gusts 25 to 30 mph can again be expected Sunday across zones 427, 426, and 425 with no appreciable increase in minimum afternoon RH. Elevated fire weather conditions to persist with SPC also continuing to highlight a region of elevated to critical fire weather conditions in the area. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 92/96/90/92