Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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030 FXUS64 KOHX 181659 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1159 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 A hot, humid air mass has settled over Middle Tennessee, and our current weather pattern will continue throughout the 7-day forecast period. High pressure centered to our east is keeping a southerly flow over the region, hence the persistent heat and mugginess. A swath of gulf-moisture has been responsible for scattered convection along the Tennessee River during the past several hours. It appears that this moisture band will drift westward today and tonight, with lessening POPs across the mid state on Tuesday, and dry conditions for the bulk of the mid state from Wednesday onward. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 Rain and storm chances won`t return to Middle Tennessee until Sunday and into early next week as a surface boundary rides down a northwest flow aloft. It is also possible that we could see some tropical effects later next week coming up from the Gulf of Mexico, but this is a long way off. It`s rare to see tropical effects in Middle Tennessee this early in the season, so we won`t hype this up too much. Temperatures for the next 7 days will consistently top out in the mid to upper 90s across much of the region, and there is no relief from the heat forthcoming anytime soon. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1157 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 VFR conditions expected across middle TN at all TAF sites with southerly winds 10 kts or less. Expect SCT to BKN mid and high clouds 060 to 250. Included VCTS for CKV from 20-23Z as if anything develops the northwest would be most likely location. Confidence is quite low. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 93 74 92 72 / 10 10 0 0 Clarksville 90 72 89 69 / 30 10 0 0 Crossville 86 65 86 64 / 10 10 0 0 Columbia 91 71 90 68 / 10 10 0 0 Cookeville 88 69 88 68 / 10 10 0 0 Jamestown 87 66 88 67 / 20 10 0 0 Lawrenceburg 90 71 88 67 / 10 10 0 0 Murfreesboro 92 71 91 69 / 10 10 0 0 Waverly 90 72 88 69 / 20 10 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Rose LONG TERM....Rose AVIATION.....12