Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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432
UXUS97 KPUB 241212
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0612 MDT Friday, May 24, 2024

This forecast is for the Air Force Academy for Friday, May 24, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 54.0 F/12.2 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1271 ft/min (6.5 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 21145 ft MSL (13511 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 68.0 F/20.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0945 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1400 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 17583 ft MSL (9949 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 05/25..... Excellent

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:39:07 / 20:13:18 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 34 min 11 sec (874 min 11 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:56:13 MDT... 71.97 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 05/24/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 11710 ft MSL (4076 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 22855 ft MSL (15221 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 22690 ft MSL (15057 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +1.8
K index......................... -43.1

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -54.8 -66.6   260   53   27   1.3   0.7      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -53.2 -63.8   260   60   31  -1.4  -0.8      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -55.1 -67.2   260   71   36  -1.3  -0.7      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -54.4 -65.9   260   71   36   2.9   1.6      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -52.4 -62.3   260   68   35   2.9   1.6      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -49.8 -57.6   260   66   34   7.2   4.0      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -45.5 -49.9   260   66   34   7.3   4.0      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -41.0 -41.8   260   66   34   7.8   4.3   27.6  81.7     5.9      M    M
 29000  -38.7 -37.7   260   66   34   7.8   4.3   26.8  80.2     5.3      M    M
 28000  -36.4 -33.5   260   65   34   7.8   4.3   26.1  79.0     4.8      M    M
 27000  -34.1 -29.4   260   65   34   7.2   4.0   25.5  77.9     4.3      M    M
 26000  -32.0 -25.6   260   62   32   7.0   3.9   24.3  75.8     3.5      M    M
 25000  -29.9 -21.8   260   58   30   7.0   3.9   23.4  74.0     2.7      M    M
 24000  -27.8 -18.0   260   55   28   7.2   4.0   22.5  72.5     2.0      M    M
 23000  -25.5 -13.9   260   52   27   7.5   4.1   21.6  70.9     1.3      M    M
 22000  -22.7  -8.9   260   49   25   7.5   4.1   20.6  69.1     0.4      M    M
 21000  -20.5  -4.9   260   47   24   7.2   4.0   19.9  67.8    -0.2   1247  6.3
 20000  -18.2  -0.8   260   47   24   7.3   4.0   19.0  66.2    -0.9   1150  5.8
 19500  -17.1   1.2   265   47   24   7.4   4.1   18.6  65.5    -1.3   1102  5.6
 19000  -16.0   3.2   265   47   24   7.5   4.1   18.2  64.8    -1.6   1054  5.4
 18500  -15.0   5.0   265   46   24   6.0   3.3   17.8  64.0    -2.0   1008  5.1
 18000  -14.1   6.6   265   45   23   6.0   3.3   17.1  62.8    -2.6    967  4.9
 17500  -13.2   8.2   265   44   23   6.4   3.5   16.5  61.7    -3.1    925  4.7
 17000  -12.1  10.2   265   42   22   7.0   3.9   16.0  60.9    -3.6    879  4.5
 16500  -11.1  12.0   265   40   21   7.0   3.9   15.6  60.1    -4.0    833  4.2
 16000  -10.0  14.0   265   38   19   7.4   4.1   15.2  59.3    -4.4    785  4.0
 15500   -8.9  16.0   265   35   18   7.4   4.1   14.8  58.6    -4.8    738  3.7
 15000   -7.8  18.0   265   32   17   8.0   4.4   14.4  58.0    -5.2    689  3.5
 14500   -6.6  20.1   265   29   15   8.1   4.5   14.2  57.5    -5.4    638  3.2
 14000   -5.4  22.3   265   26   13   8.1   4.4   13.9  57.1    -5.7    587  3.0
 13500   -4.2  24.4   270   22   11   8.0   4.4   13.6  56.5    -6.0    536  2.7
 13000   -3.0  26.6   270   19   10   8.8   4.8   13.4  56.0    -6.3    486  2.5
 12500   -1.8  28.8   275   17    9   6.4   3.5   13.1  55.5    -6.6    435  2.2
 12000   -0.8  30.6   290   14    7   6.8   3.7   12.6  54.6    -7.1    391  2.0
 11750   -0.2  31.6   295   14    7   8.2   4.5   12.4  54.3    -7.3    367  1.9
 11500    0.4  32.7   295   14    7   7.2   4.0   12.3  54.1    -7.5    342  1.7
 11250    0.8  33.4   300   14    7   5.8   3.2   12.0  53.5    -7.8    321  1.6
 11000    1.3  34.3   300   14    7   5.7   3.1   11.7  53.0    -8.1    300  1.5
 10750    1.6  34.9   305   14    7   5.1   2.8   11.3  52.4    -8.4    281  1.4
 10500    2.0  35.6   305   15    8   5.0   2.7   11.0  51.7    -8.8    263  1.3
 10250    2.4  36.3   305   15    8   5.1   2.8   10.6  51.1    -9.2    245  1.2
 10000    2.7  36.9   300   16    8   4.2   2.3   10.2  50.4    -9.7    227  1.2
  9750    2.9  37.2   300   15    8   2.8   1.5    9.7  49.5   -10.2    213  1.1
  9500    3.1  37.6   300   15    8   3.7   2.1    9.2  48.6   -10.8    201  1.0
  9250    3.3  37.9   300   14    7   0.2   0.1    8.7  47.7   -11.4    188  1.0
  9000    3.0  37.4   300   14    7  -1.1  -0.6    7.8  46.1   -12.4    188  1.0
  8750    3.1  37.6   300   13    7   2.5   1.4    7.2  44.9   -13.1    179  0.9
  8500    3.2  37.8   295   13    6   2.5   1.4    6.6  43.9   -13.7    168  0.9
  8250    3.3  37.9   295   12    6   2.3   1.3    6.1  42.9   -14.4    157  0.8
  8000    2.3  36.1   305    8    4 -17.5  -9.6    3.7  38.6   -16.9    172  0.9
  7750    1.4  34.5   315    5    2   3.2   1.8    2.0  35.6   -18.6    193  1.0
  7500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  6750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           05/24/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       05/24/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +3.7        | CAPE...   +19.0    LI...       +0.9
CINH...     0.0    K Index... -28.7        | CINH...   -19.5    K Index... +10.9
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -54.9 -66.8  260  51 26   1.2   0.7 | -55.1 -67.2  260  52 27   0.3   0.2
 45000 -53.3 -63.9  260  60 31  -1.1  -0.6 | -54.7 -66.5  265  71 37   0.2   0.1
 40000 -54.7 -66.5  265  75 39  -1.0  -0.5 | -54.4 -65.9  265  81 42   0.2   0.1
 38000 -54.1 -65.4  265  78 40   2.2   1.2 | -53.3 -63.9  265  84 43   2.4   1.3
 36000 -52.6 -62.7  265  78 40   2.2   1.2 | -51.9 -61.4  265  86 44   2.4   1.3
 34000 -50.2 -58.4  265  77 40   8.0   4.4 | -49.4 -56.9  265  86 44   7.5   4.1
 32000 -45.3 -49.5  265  76 39   8.0   4.4 | -44.8 -48.6  265  83 43   7.5   4.1
 30000 -40.5 -40.9  265  74 38   8.0   4.4 | -40.2 -40.4  265  80 41   8.2   4.5
 29000 -38.1 -36.6  265  72 37   8.0   4.4 | -37.7 -35.9  265  77 40   8.2   4.5
 28000 -35.8 -32.4  265  70 36   8.0   4.4 | -35.3 -31.5  265  74 38   8.2   4.5
 27000 -33.4 -28.1  265  68 35   7.0   3.8 | -32.8 -27.0  265  72 37   7.8   4.3
 26000 -31.4 -24.5  265  64 33   6.7   3.7 | -30.5 -22.9  265  69 36   7.7   4.2
 25000 -29.4 -20.9  265  60 31   6.7   3.7 | -28.2 -18.8  265  67 34   7.7   4.2
 24000 -27.4 -17.3  265  57 29   6.7   3.7 | -25.9 -14.6  265  65 33   6.9   3.8
 23000 -25.4 -13.7  265  54 28   6.8   3.7 | -23.8 -10.8  265  59 31   5.5   3.0
 22000 -22.9  -9.2  265  50 26   6.8   3.7 | -22.2  -8.0  265  55 28   5.5   3.0
 21000 -20.8  -5.4  265  48 25   7.4   4.1 | -20.5  -4.9  265  52 27   6.2   3.4
 20000 -18.6  -1.5  265  47 24   7.4   4.1 | -18.7  -1.7  265  51 26   6.2   3.4
 19500 -17.5   0.5  265  47 24   7.4   4.1 | -17.8  -0.0  270  50 26   6.2   3.4
 19000 -16.4   2.5  265  47 24   7.6   4.2 | -16.9   1.6  270  49 25   6.3   3.5
 18500 -15.3   4.5  265  46 24   5.4   3.0 | -16.0   3.2  270  48 25   4.9   2.7
 18000 -14.5   5.9  265  45 23   5.5   3.0 | -15.3   4.5  270  47 24   5.0   2.7
 17500 -13.7   7.3  265  44 23   5.7   3.1 | -14.6   5.7  270  46 24   5.7   3.2
 17000 -12.8   9.0  270  42 22   6.0   3.3 | -13.6   7.5  270  42 22   6.7   3.7
 16500 -11.9  10.6  270  41 21   6.0   3.3 | -12.6   9.3  270  38 20   6.8   3.7
 16000 -10.8  12.6  270  38 20   8.2   4.5 | -11.4  11.5  270  35 18   9.4   5.2
 15500  -9.6  14.7  270  35 18   8.0   4.4 | -10.1  13.8  265  32 16   9.2   5.1
 15000  -8.4  16.9  265  32 17   8.4   4.6 |  -8.8  16.2  265  29 15   9.0   4.9
 14500  -7.2  19.0  265  30 15   8.5   4.6 |  -7.4  18.7  260  27 14   9.0   4.9
 14000  -5.9  21.4  260  27 14   8.4   4.6 |  -6.2  20.8  260  24 12   7.9   4.3
 13500  -4.6  23.7  260  25 13   8.4   4.6 |  -5.1  22.8  255  21 11   7.4   4.1
 13000  -3.4  25.9  260  22 12   9.1   5.0 |  -4.0  24.8  250  17  9   6.9   3.8
 12500  -2.2  28.0  265  20 11   5.6   3.1 |  -3.1  26.4  245  14  7   5.8   3.2
 12000  -1.4  29.5  265  17  9   5.7   3.1 |  -2.3  27.9  225  10  5   6.4   3.5
 11750  -1.0  30.2  265  16  8   5.5   3.0 |  -1.8  28.8  215   9  5   6.9   3.8
 11500  -0.6  30.9  265  14  7   6.1   3.4 |  -1.3  29.7  200   9  5   8.4   4.6
 11250  -0.1  31.8  265  13  7   7.1   3.9 |  -0.6  30.9  190   9  5   9.9   5.4
 11000   0.4  32.7  265  12  6   6.3   3.5 |   0.2  32.4  180   9  5   9.5   5.2
 10750   0.8  33.4  265  10  5   5.4   3.0 |   0.9  33.6  180   9  5   9.5   5.2
 10500   1.2  34.2  265   9  5   5.3   2.9 |   1.6  34.9  175   9  5   9.5   5.2
 10250   1.6  34.9  265   7  4   5.5   3.0 |   2.3  36.1  175  10  5  10.2   5.6
 10000   2.0  35.6  265   6  3   5.7   3.1 |   3.1  37.6  170  10  5  10.3   5.7
  9750   2.4  36.3  270   5  3   5.7   3.1 |   3.8  38.8  170  10  5   9.9   5.4
  9500   2.8  37.0  270   4  2   6.0   3.3 |   4.6  40.3  170  10  5   9.9   5.4
  9250   3.2  37.8  275   3  2   5.5   3.0 |   5.3  41.5  170  10  5  10.0   5.5
  9000   3.5  38.3  275   2  1   7.3   4.0 |   6.1  43.0  165  10  5  10.2   5.6
  8750   4.2  39.6  285   1  1   9.3   5.1 |   6.8  44.2  165  10  5  10.3   5.6
  8500   4.8  40.6  325   1  0   8.5   4.6 |   7.6  45.7  160  10  5   9.9   5.4
  8250   5.4  41.7  030   1  0  10.0   5.5 |   9.5  49.1  160  10  5  19.9  10.9
  8000   7.7  45.9  055   2  1  20.9  11.5 |  11.3  52.3  160  10  5  29.5  16.2
  7750   9.1  48.4  065   2  1  13.0   7.1 |  13.2  55.8  155   9  5  13.9   7.6
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           05/24/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       05/24/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +179.3    LI...       -1.9        | CAPE...   +44.6    LI...       -0.6
CINH...   -12.0    K Index... +19.9        | CINH...   -44.3    K Index... +22.5
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -55.9 -68.6  260  48 25   2.5   1.4 | -56.2 -69.2  260  53 27   2.1   1.1
 45000 -52.6 -62.7  270  72 37  -1.3  -0.7 | -53.4 -64.1  270  76 39  -1.4  -0.8
 40000 -54.4 -65.9  270  94 49  -1.2  -0.7 | -55.5 -67.9  270  94 48  -1.2  -0.7
 38000 -53.4 -64.1  270  96 50   2.8   1.6 | -53.8 -64.8  270  92 47   4.0   2.2
 36000 -51.7 -61.1  270  94 48   2.8   1.6 | -51.4 -60.5  265  86 44   4.0   2.2
 34000 -48.9 -56.0  270  92 47   7.8   4.3 | -48.4 -55.1  265  82 42   6.9   3.8
 32000 -44.3 -47.7  270  89 46   7.8   4.3 | -44.3 -47.7  270  80 41   6.8   3.7
 30000 -39.6 -39.3  270  85 44   7.7   4.2 | -39.9 -39.8  270  77 40   8.0   4.4
 29000 -37.3 -35.1  270  83 43   7.7   4.2 | -37.6 -35.7  270  76 39   8.0   4.4
 28000 -35.1 -31.2  270  81 42   7.7   4.2 | -35.2 -31.4  270  75 38   8.0   4.4
 27000 -32.8 -27.0  270  79 40   6.1   3.4 | -32.8 -27.0  270  73 37   7.0   3.8
 26000 -31.1 -24.0  270  75 39   5.8   3.2 | -30.8 -23.4  265  69 36   6.9   3.8
 25000 -29.4 -20.9  270  72 37   5.8   3.2 | -28.7 -19.7  265  66 34   6.9   3.8
 24000 -27.7 -17.9  265  69 35   5.4   3.0 | -26.2 -15.2  265  61 31   5.9   3.2
 23000 -25.9 -14.6  270  62 32   4.9   2.7 | -24.4 -11.9  260  56 29   6.0   3.3
 22000 -24.4 -11.9  270  56 29   5.0   2.7 | -22.6  -8.7  260  52 27   6.1   3.3
 21000 -22.6  -8.7  270  50 26   8.5   4.7 | -20.5  -4.9  260  47 24   8.4   4.6
 20000 -20.1  -4.2  270  44 23   8.3   4.6 | -18.1  -0.6  260  41 21   8.4   4.6
 19500 -18.9  -2.0  270  41 21   8.4   4.6 | -16.9   1.6  260  39 20   8.4   4.6
 19000 -17.6   0.3  270  38 20   8.3   4.6 | -15.6   3.9  260  36 19   8.4   4.6
 18500 -16.3   2.7  270  36 19   9.2   5.0 | -14.4   6.1  260  34 18   8.1   4.4
 18000 -15.0   5.0  270  34 18   9.1   5.0 | -13.2   8.2  260  33 17   8.1   4.5
 17500 -13.6   7.5  270  32 17   9.2   5.0 | -12.1  10.2  260  31 16   7.6   4.2
 17000 -12.2  10.0  270  32 16   9.2   5.1 | -11.0  12.2  260  30 15   7.4   4.0
 16500 -10.9  12.4  270  31 16   9.2   5.1 |  -9.9  14.2  255  28 15   7.4   4.1
 16000  -9.5  14.9  270  30 15   9.2   5.1 |  -8.8  16.2  255  27 14   7.7   4.2
 15500  -8.1  17.4  265  29 15   9.3   5.1 |  -7.7  18.1  255  25 13   7.7   4.2
 15000  -6.8  19.8  265  27 14   8.7   4.8 |  -6.5  20.3  255  24 12   8.4   4.6
 14500  -5.5  22.1  265  25 13   8.8   4.8 |  -5.2  22.6  250  22 12   8.4   4.6
 14000  -4.2  24.4  260  23 12   8.7   4.7 |  -4.0  24.8  250  21 11   8.9   4.9
 13500  -2.9  26.8  255  21 11   8.7   4.8 |  -2.6  27.3  245  19 10   9.1   5.0
 13000  -1.7  28.9  250  19 10   9.6   5.3 |  -1.2  29.8  240  17  9  10.4   5.7
 12500  -0.4  31.3  240  18  9   7.2   4.0 |   0.2  32.4  230  16  8   7.8   4.3
 12000   0.7  33.3  230  16  8   7.9   4.3 |   1.4  34.5  215  16  8   7.7   4.2
 11750   1.3  34.3  220  15  8   8.5   4.7 |   1.9  35.4  210  16  8   7.1   3.9
 11500   1.9  35.4  210  15  7   9.1   5.0 |   2.5  36.5  205  16  8   7.7   4.2
 11250   2.6  36.7  205  14  7   9.8   5.4 |   3.0  37.4  200  16  8   8.2   4.5
 11000   3.4  38.1  200  14  7   9.1   5.0 |   3.6  38.5  195  16  8   7.4   4.0
 10750   4.0  39.2  195  14  7   8.4   4.6 |   4.1  39.4  190  16  8   6.4   3.5
 10500   4.6  40.3  195  14  7   8.7   4.8 |   4.6  40.3  185  16  8   6.8   3.7
 10250   5.3  41.5  190  14  7  10.3   5.7 |   5.2  41.4  185  17  9   9.2   5.0
 10000   6.1  43.0  190  14  7  10.5   5.7 |   5.9  42.6  180  17  9   9.5   5.2
  9750   6.9  44.4  185  14  7   9.6   5.3 |   6.6  43.9  175  18  9   8.4   4.6
  9500   7.6  45.7  185  14  7   9.7   5.3 |   7.2  45.0  175  18 10   8.2   4.5
  9250   8.3  46.9  185  14  7   9.9   5.5 |   7.8  46.0  175  19 10  10.1   5.5
  9000   9.1  48.4  180  14  7  10.1   5.6 |   8.6  47.5  170  19 10  10.2   5.6
  8750   9.8  49.6  180  14  7  10.1   5.5 |   9.3  48.7  170  19 10   8.4   4.6
  8500  10.6  51.1  175  14  7   9.8   5.4 |   9.9  49.8  165  19 10   8.6   4.7
  8250  11.3  52.3  175  14  7  11.1   6.1 |  10.6  51.1  165  19 10   9.4   5.2
  8000  12.3  54.1  175  14  7  17.4   9.5 |  11.4  52.5  165  18  9  11.4   6.2
  7750  15.4  59.7  170  12  6  14.0   7.7 |  12.2  54.0  160  15  8  11.7   6.4
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the Air Force Academy
in Colorado Springs, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 58 min 48.000 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 49 min 12.000 sec
                   Elevation: 6572 feet (2003 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613