421
FXUS64 KBMX 181123
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
623 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 311 AM CDT WED SEP 18 2024

We will be under high pressure through the short term. There is a
remnant low pressure to our northeast, that will try to spin some
clouds into the far eastern areas. There could be just enough
moisture to squeeze out some light rain, but will keep the forecast
dry for now. The low pressure will slide eastward on Thursday,
allowing the high pressure to firmly set up over the area, with
generally just fair weather cumulus in the afternoon. Patchy fog
will be possible again on Thursday morning. Highs will be in the
middle upper 80s today and upper 80s to near 90 on Thursday.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 311 AM CDT WED SEP 18 2024

Nothing much happening in the long term. Troughing along the east
coast will eventually give way to an upper level ridge that build
into the southeast states over the weekend and into early next week.
Moisture levels remain quite low, and rain chances will range from
slim to none. The upper ridge will also help temperatures climb back
up close to or above 90 degrees by the weekend as well. There`s some
hint of the ridge breaking down and allowing some moisture to return
to the area around the middle of next week. Will continue to watch
the tropics intently, but nothing of high enough confidence to get
too excited about for our area at this time.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 AM CDT WED SEP 18 2024

VFR conditions are expected with generally light winds before
15z, then northwest winds 5-7 kts in the afternoon. A few
instances of MVFR patchy fog through 13z this morning and then
again overnight into Thursday from 9 to 12z.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Rain free conditions and a warming trend are expected across the
area through the rest of the week, with generally light winds.
Humidity levels are expected to remain above critical thresholds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     85  64  89  63 /  10   0   0   0
Anniston    85  63  88  64 /  10  10   0   0
Birmingham  86  65  88  66 /  10   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  89  65  90  66 /  10   0   0   0
Calera      87  66  89  68 /  10   0   0   0
Auburn      87  66  88  67 /  10  10   0   0
Montgomery  90  66  90  68 /  10  10   0   0
Troy        88  65  89  67 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....02
AVIATION...16