Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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273 FXUS62 KMLB 170528 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 128 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 126 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024 VFR conditions prevailing. Some isolated, light showers will be possible through the period, especially along the coast. However, coverage is forecast to be too low to include a VCSH mention at this time. Easterly winds will increase to around 15kts Monday morning into early Monday afternoon. Gusts up to 25kts are forecast. && .UPDATE... Convection has pushed well west of the FA in increasing east flow. Min temps will hold in the upper 70s/near 80 along the coast but settle into the mid 70s interior. Brief passing sprinkle/ light shower possible along the coast. Removed thunder from the forecast for tonight. && .MARINE... Issued at 300 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024 Tonight...Easterly flow 10-15 kt continue, increasing toward daybreak Monday to 15-20 kt. Isolated showers are possible late tonight over the waters, especially south of Sebastian Inlet. Seas 2-3 ft, building to 4 ft over the Gulf Stream early Monday morning. Monday-Thursday (modified previous)...Onshore winds winds increase to 15-20 kts into Wed, perhaps stronger Wed aftn-Thu with the approach of a surface trough over the western Atlc, which does have some potential to organize by midweek as it ventures quickly toward the FL peninsula. Seas build 4-5 ft on Mon and up to 6 ft offshore Mon night, 5-6 ft areawide on Tue and up to 7 ft offshore Tue night. Seas forecast 6-8 ft Wed and perhaps up to 10 ft well offshore Wed overnight. Max seas could approach 12 ft offshore by early Thu. At the very least, Cautionary Statements will turn into Small Craft Advisories later this week. Shower and isolated lightning storm chances will go up by midweek across the local waters as moisture increases. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 88 76 87 75 / 20 10 30 30 MCO 88 75 87 75 / 20 10 40 20 MLB 88 77 88 77 / 20 10 40 30 VRB 88 76 87 76 / 10 20 40 40 LEE 91 75 90 75 / 10 10 20 10 SFB 89 74 89 74 / 20 10 30 20 ORL 89 75 89 75 / 20 10 40 20 FPR 87 76 87 75 / 20 20 40 40 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE... AVIATION...Leahy