Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tiyan, Guam
Issued by NWS Tiyan, Guam
718 FXPQ50 PGUM 302002 AFDGUM Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tiyan GU 602 AM ChST Fri May 31 2024 .Marianas Synopsis... Gentle to moderate trades prevail in the region. Satellite imagery indicates showers developing within the trade trough exiting to the west of Guam. Altimetry passes indicate seas are about 4 to 5 feet. && .Discussion... The passage of a minor trade trough was expected to bring scattered showers to Guam today; after a brief line of showers moved across the island overnight, the bulk of the showers are now expected to be at the westernmost extent of the coastal waters as this feature continues to exit the region. Other than that, the weather forecast remains unchanged. && .Marine... The marine forecast remains unchanged. Combined seas of 3 to 5 feet will subside slightly to between 2 and 4 feet over the weekend, as the background trade swell remains the dominant feature for the rest of the week. && .Eastern Micronesia including Chuuk... Satellite imagery shows a line of showers and storms extending from Kwajalein westward to Weno. Multiple subtle trade-wind troughs are moving across eastern Micronesia and Chuuk, leading to disturbed weather. A temporary reprieve from active weather will be possible this weekend before convection becomes more widespread early next week. Combined seas of 4 to 6 feet should prevail across the region, except seas of 5 to 7 feet could build across the northern RMI this weekend. Kalo Buoy shows combined seas mainly 2 to 4 feet with occasional bigger waves on the east side of Majuro. && .Western Micronesia for Yap and Palau... Slight adjustments were made to the forecast based on satellite trends. QPF and PoPs were bumped up for Palau today for ongoing convection across the region. Additionally, with light winds expected tomorrow, there will be the potential for island convection during the afternoon. QPF and PoPs were bumped up some as a result. A quieter pattern looks possible next week for Yap and Palau. Gentle to moderate trades and benign sea conditions are expected to continue across the region through the weekend. Palau/Ngaraard Buoy shows combined seas mainly 3 to 5 feet from the east. && .GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GU...None. MP...None. Marianas Waters...None. && $$ Marianas: Montvila Micronesia: Williams