488
FXUS65 KABQ 102317 AAA
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
417 PM MST Wed Dec 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 414 PM MST Wed Dec 10 2025

- Dry and unseasonably mild weather will persist through at least
  the middle of next week across central and northern New Mexico.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 1056 AM MST Wed Dec 10 2025

Dry northwest flow continues across the Land of Enchantment on this
mid December day with the state situated between an upper high
centered over southern CA and longwave troughing over the eastern
2/3rd of the continental U.S. A surface high has pushed southeast
over the southern Great Plains this morning resulting in a cooler
day, by around 10 to 15 degrees compared to yesterday, across
eastern NM. Meanwhile, temperatures across western and central NM
are around 10 degrees above average for this time of year. Clear
skies Wednesday night with low temperatures around 10 to 15 degrees
above average. Temperatures across eastern NM on Thursday warm back
up to well above average readings due to downslope west winds from
surface lee troughing over the Great Plains. Records will be
challenged or tied for most locations across the forecast area with
highs 15 to as much as 25 degrees above average.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1056 AM MST Wed Dec 10 2025

Dry northwest flow remains over the state through the rest of the
week as a upper level ridge remains over the Great Basin. Troughing
over the eastern 2/3rd of the continental U.S. will allow another
weak backdoor front to push through eastern NM early Friday morning
cooling temperatures back down to around 10 to 12 degrees above
average for mid December. Temperatures across western and central NM
will remain generally around 10 to 15 degrees above average. Eastern
NM warms back up a little on Saturday, with highs 15 to 20 degrees
above average, due to another surface lee trough resulting in
downslope west winds. Similar temperatures to Friday across western
and central NM.

A stronger backdoor front, associated with a defined shortwave
across the north central U.S. moves through eastern NM Saturday
night into Sunday morning, cooling high temperatures to near average
values on Sunday. No noticable impact to temperatures across
western and central NM Sunday as the axis of the aforementioned
upper level ridge moves overhead. A weak upper level trough moves
through the desert SW Sunday night through early Tuesday morning
with the only noticable feature during this time being some mid to
high level clouds over the state. Downsloping southwest winds
warms temperatures across eastern NM back up to around 10 to 15
degrees above average. Another day of similar temperatures across
western and central NM. Dry northwest flow with high temperatures
10 to 15 degrees above average areawide in the wake of this weak
trough mid next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 414 PM MST Wed Dec 10 2025

VFR prevails tonight and Thursday as winds taper off this evening.
Localized stronger terrain driven drainage winds are likely at
KSAF again early Thursday morning. LLWS will again be a concern
along and immediately east of the Sangre de Cristo Mts, struggling
to reach KRTN-KLVS. Prevailing W/NW winds return Thursday
afternoon, with the strongest gusts focused across eastern NM.
Peak gusts of 20-30kts will be possible from KSXU to KTCC to KCVN.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1056 AM MST Wed Dec 10 2025

Dry weather with no critical fire weather conditions through mid
next week. Very mild to warm Thursday and Saturday and cooler Friday
and Sunday across eastern New Mexico. Mild and well above normal
across central and western New Mexico the rest of this week and
across all areas early next week. Ventilation generally poor, expect
for some locally fair ventilation across the northeast highlands and
far southeast plains Friday afternoon and south central highlands
Saturday afternoon, and fair to good ventilation across the south
central highlands and southeast plains Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  28  55  26  54 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  21  55  21  56 /   0   0   0   0
Cuba............................  27  55  26  53 /   0   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  23  62  22  62 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  28  60  28  60 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  25  63  23  62 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  29  61  28  62 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  35  65  34  61 /   0   0   0   0
Datil...........................  30  62  29  62 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  29  69  27  69 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  34  72  34  73 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  24  54  24  54 /   0   0   0   0
Los Alamos......................  33  58  33  55 /   0   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  33  63  34  57 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  29  56  29  56 /   0   0   0   0
Red River.......................  27  50  27  49 /   0   0   0   0
Angel Fire......................  19  55  19  54 /   0   0   0   0
Taos............................  23  57  22  56 /   0   0   0   0
Mora............................  33  65  32  59 /   0   0   0   0
Espanola........................  28  62  28  60 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  34  59  34  57 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  30  59  31  58 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  37  60  38  61 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  34  63  35  62 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  32  65  33  64 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  33  64  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  27  63  28  63 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  33  64  33  62 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  29  64  30  64 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  32  64  33  62 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  29  64  29  63 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  35  59  36  60 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  33  63  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  34  67  35  65 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  33  56  34  57 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  33  57  34  59 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  30  59  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  26  61  27  61 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  31  58  32  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  31  60  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  30  61  31  62 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  35  63  37  66 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  37  62  39  60 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  31  67  32  57 /   0   0   0   0
Raton...........................  29  68  29  59 /   0   0   0   0
Springer........................  27  70  27  63 /   0   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  33  67  33  59 /   0   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  37  74  37  59 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  31  70  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  30  74  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  35  72  34  64 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  32  74  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  35  71  39  64 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  35  72  38  65 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  31  73  36  66 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  32  72  39  69 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  37  72  42  65 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  34  72  39  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...71
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...24