426
FXUS61 KALY 272254
AFDALY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
654 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this forecast update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Continued high confidence in mainly dry conditions
persisting through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Satellite imagery is showing clear skies across eastern NY and
western New England, with ridging from high pressure over eastern
Canada extending across our region. Broad N`ly flow is keeping
temperatures below average throughout this afternoon, which will
continue into this evening. The aforementioned high will drift
SE into New England overnight, with low temperatures dropping
into the mid-20s to low 30s. This will be accompanied by an
increase in clouds by early Wednesday morning associated with an
approaching warm front from the south. Closer to average
temperatures are expected on Wednesday, with highs staying in
the 50s to near 60. SW`ly flow will dominate on Thursday as the
high moves offshore New England, advecting in an anomalously
warm air mass and bringing the return of above average
temperatures (around 5-10 degrees above normal). A cold front
with minimal moisture is expected to pass through the region
from the NW Thursday night into Friday, with a few short-lived
showers expected in the Adirondacks. Above average temperatures
will persist through the day on Friday, with winds strengthening
behind the front in the afternoon and evening. Another high
pressure system will approach the region over the weekend,
continuing the trend of above average temperatures and dry
weather. The next chance for rain is looking to be early next
week per latest guidance, but there is still a large model
spread so confidence is low regarding timing and amounts.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 6:55 PM EDT...VFR flying conditions expected to prevail at all
terminals through the entire TAF period. Initially mainly clear
skies this evening give way to increasing high clouds, especially
after midnight. This should help prevent any fog formation. SCT to
BKN high clouds prevail through the day tomorrow, with a few mid-
level clouds above 7000-8000 ft also expected, especially during the
afternoon. N/NE winds to start the TAF period become light and
variable by 03z lasting through mid to late morning tomorrow, then
increase to around 5 kt from the S/SE through the end of the TAF
period.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...23
AVIATION...35