Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
725
FNUS53 KAPX 011907
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
307 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
...Wet Weather Continues...
.DISCUSSION...
Light to moderate rain is moving through the area this afternoon.
A cold front will move through this evening, ending rain and
turning winds to northwest. Moisture lingers into Friday with
partly cloudy skies and slight chances for lake effect rain
showers. Northwest winds will become breezy with high temperatures
cooling 5 to 10 degrees compared to the previous day.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-020900-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
307 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler...except 12 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......31 percent drier...except 14 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (926).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 44-49 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Widespread frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (332).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-020900-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
307 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.28 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......40 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (987).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 45-50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (299).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-020900-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
307 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......34 percent drier...except 23 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (718).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....33-38...except around 50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 6 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (316).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the south
around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-020900-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
307 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......41 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (714).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (317).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-020900-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
307 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
2400. Chance of rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.30 in.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......45 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (890).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....33-38.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
ELD