551
FXUS64 KBMX 070823
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
223 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 223 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025

 - Medium to high chances of dense fog developing overnight.

 - Temperatures into next weekend will again fall to below
   average, with an extended period of below freezing nights
   possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Saturday)
Issued at 223 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025

Today through Monday

A low cloud deck has overspread Central Alabama over the past
several hours, which has caused temperatures to climb back into the
40s in several areas after having been in the 30s under clear skies.
Patchy fog is also developing but should dissipate by a couple hours
after sunrise. The low clouds and light winds should hinder
development in many areas moreso than expected several hours ago.
This low stratus is likely to hang around much of the day today,
with overcast skies and highs in the 50s.

Light rain or drizzle is possible across the area from late morning
into the afternoon hours. After nightfall, rain chances increase
dramatically as a system pushes in from the west. Rain will end by
daybreak Monday as a cold front sweeps through. Temperatures will be
a few degrees lower Monday afternoon, with cloud cover clearing out
by the late morning or afternoon.

Tuesday through Saturday

Dry conditions are expected through Wednesday across Central
Alabama. Monday night/Tuesday morning is still on track to be a cold
one, with lows in the mid 20s to low 30s across most areas. Highs
Thursday are likely to be in the 60s ahead of the next cold front,
which will bring a return of rain chances Thursday into Friday.
Behind the front, temperatures currently look very cold heading into
next weekend, with widespread lows in the 20s Friday night and
Saturday night. Some areas may remain in the 30s all day Saturday.
While decent model agreement is in place for some kind of cold
blast, just how is still subject to change in subsequent forecast
updates.

12

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1137 PM CST SAT DEC 6 2025

A low cloud deck has brought IFR cigs to all terminals as it has
moved northward across Central Alabama. Cigs should deteriorate to
LIFR at most terminals by the early morning hours. Additionally, fog
is still somewhat likely during the overnight hours, so have
maintained lowered vis at all sites and IFR vis at most. Should see
IFR cigs hang around until roughly midday before improving to MVFR.
Light drizzle may occur at times during the morning and afternoon.
Rain will move in from Mississippi west to east across the area
after 0z, with MVFR cigs and occasional low vis expected.

12

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Light rain returns to the area tonight. MinRH values will remain
above 50% through Monday, and above 40% Tuesday and Wednesday. The
next rain chance comes Thursday night. Fire weather concerns remain
limited through the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     54  37  50  26 /  20  60   0   0
Anniston    56  40  51  29 /  20  60   0   0
Birmingham  55  41  50  30 /  20  60   0   0
Tuscaloosa  58  41  53  30 /  20  60   0   0
Calera      58  41  53  29 /  20  60   0   0
Auburn      56  45  54  34 /  20  70  10   0
Montgomery  58  44  54  31 /  20  60   0   0
Troy        58  45  55  32 /  30  70   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for the
following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-
Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-
Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-
Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-
Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-
Winston.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...12