Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
131 FXUS64 KBRO 131120 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 520 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 520 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 - There is an elevated risk of rip currents this weekend into next week. - Above normal temperatures are expected through the forecast period with breezy southeasterly winds. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1040 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 A deep 500mb trough across New England gradually works offshore into the weekend, with high pressure building across Deep South Texas into next week. Expect a rinse and repeat early October type pattern with a warm southerly breeze each afternoon and well above normal temperatures. Southeasterly winds increase slightly Monday through Wednesday as the pressure gradient strengthens. Forecast highs may approach records across the RGV Sunday through Tuesday. Life-threatening rip currents are expected along the lower Texas coast. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 520 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 VFR will prevail through the forecast period at all TAF sites. Light and variable winds will prevail through mid to late morning before becoming southeasterly around 10 knots with gusts to 20 knots through the late afternoon hours. Winds become light once again by this evening and overnight. && .MARINE... Issued at 1040 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 Breezy southeasterly winds persist each afternoon into next week due to a strong pressure gradient along the lower Texas coast. SCEC to borderline SCA conditions are possible nearly every day Monday through Wednesday, especially across the bay. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 85 67 85 68 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 88 61 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 89 64 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 90 61 90 62 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 73 80 73 / 0 0 0 10 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 85 66 84 67 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...56 LONG TERM....56 AVIATION...22-Garcia