174
FXUS62 KCAE 031556
AFDCAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
1056 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
An extended period of dry weather is expected this week as a
pair of high pressure centers move through the region.
Temperatures will be near to above normal, gradually warming
each day. The next chance of rain holds off until the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
Key message(s):

- Clearing skies and breezy with dry westerly winds expected

Satellite imagery shows morning fog/stratus continues
deteriorate with downsloping west-northwesterly flow ushering in
a drier air mass. Expect mostly sunny skies for the afternoon
with somewhat breezy conditions with west to northwesterly winds
around 8 to 12 mph with some gusts up to 20 mph at times
possible with deeper mixing. Highs today should remain below
normal in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Key message(s):

- Sunny and dry with near to above normal temperatures.

- Patchy frost is possible Tuesday night.

Weak ridging or zonal flow aloft will be in place during the
short term. At the surface, high pressure will be initially
centered over the Appalachian Mountains, passing overhead
Tuesday night, then offshore on Wednesday. On Tuesday, winds
will start off northerly shifting around to the southwest by
daybreak Wednesday as high pressure traverses the region. This
will result in mainly sunny and dry conditions both days with
near to above normal temperatures, warmer on Wednesday.
Temperatures will be cold Tuesday night due to idealized
radiational cooling with forecast lows in the upper 30s to lower
40s. Will need to monitor the potential for at least patchy
frost on Tuesday night. Lows should be warmer Wednesday night,
eliminating the threat of frost.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Key message(s):

- Continued dry with above normal temperatures through at least
  Friday.

- The next chance of rain arrives towards the weekend.

Another area of high pressure passes to the north on Thursday,
quickly moving offshore as a cold front approaches on Friday.
Thursday and Friday remain dry with above normal temperatures
and a gradual increase in moisture Friday and especially Friday
night. The upcoming weekend will bring the next chance of rain
but there remains a large spread in model solutions for Saturday
and Sunday and confidence in precipitation is low. A potent
upper trough may approach the region late in the weekend,
potentially bringing much cooler weather.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR conditions expected through the forecast period.

Morning fog/stratus has diminished at the terminals with drier
air working into the region. The rest of the day should feature
mostly clear skies into tonight with westerly winds around 5 to
10 knots with some possible gusts up around 15 knots this
afternoon. Clear tonight with diminished winds less than 5 knots
expected with no aviation concerns.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...No widespread restrictions expected
through the week.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.

&&

$$