666
FXUS61 KCLE 011116
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
716 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this update as tranquil weather
continues through most of this upcoming week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry weather with pleasant temperatures much of the week. A
gradual warming trend begins on Wednesday.

2) Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over the
weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
High pressure builds southeast across the Great Lakes through
Wednesday before departing to the southeast and off the Atlantic
coast late in the week and into the weekend. Quiet weather
expected, with a warming trend starting Wednesday, with highs
in the 70s through mid week warming to the 80s Thursday onward.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
Model guidance has continued to trend slower, and drier for
Friday, though we still have a 10-15% Pop for Friday afternoon,
so can`t rule out an isolated shower or storm. Continued
building of warm, moist air with southwest flow along with weak
forcing from a southward advancing cold front will contribute to
higher likelihood in scattered showers and thunderstorms on
Saturday and Sunday (30-50% PoP currently). The risk for
flooding and severe weather is very low but heavy downpours are
possible within thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
VFR across the TAF sites this morning with VFR to persist
through the TAF period. Winds will favor a north to northeast
direction later this morning and afternoon, 8 to 12 knots,
enhanced by a lake breeze. Higher gusts up to 20 knots cannot
be ruled out, especially at CLE/ERI. Winds will diminish to 5
knots or less while still maintaining a northeast direction
after sunset.

Outlook...VFR expected through Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
Mainly quiet marine conditions are expected through the week as
high pressure persists across the region. Could see a few brief
periods of 2 to perhaps 3-foot waves as the lake breeze enhances
the northeast gradient winds, especially later today and on
Tuesday afternoon. Otherwise, overall flow will generally remain
light through much of the week, before shifting to the southwest
late Friday into Saturday, 10 to 15 knots.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Saunders
AVIATION...Kahn
MARINE...Kahn