876
FXUS63 KDDC 230432
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1032 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025

...Updated Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Increasing clouds Sunday with scattered rain showers Sunday
  afternoon.

- Decreasing clouds Monday with afternoon temperatures near
  seasonal normals for late November.

- Elevated north winds behind a dry cold front Tuesday.

- Widespread killing freeze in the 20s Wednesday morning.

- A long dry stretch expected Tuesday through Friday.

- An intense arctic cold front is currently timed for Saturday
  morning, followed by dramatically colder arctic air next
  weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 222 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025

Winds will become light and variable tonight. Dewpoints are
expected to be running in the 30s by morning. Have inserted
patchy fog in the wx grids for the morning hours as a result of
the light/variable winds and low T/Td depressions. Lows should
mainly be above freezing today and should be in the mid to upper
30s.

A large upper level low is still expected to move out across
the central Rockies Sunday. A band of showers is expected to
develop in association with this UL feature across the state of
Kansas during the day. This will be a high POP but low QPF
event, as boundary layer moisture could be better than what it
is currently forecast to achieve. Highs tomorrow will be in the
mix of the 50s to 60s.

The upper level low clears the greater region Monday. The net
result is a dry forecast. Looking beyond Monday, we are
forecast to be in dry upper level northwest flow aloft. Weak lee
troughing is expected at the surface. The net result in mild
and near normal temperatures with a dry forecast continuing for
the rest of the period.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1032 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025

Excellent flying weather will continue through 12z Sun, with
VFR/SKC and light/variable winds. Rapidly increasing mid and
high clouds are expected Sunday. A band of rain showers is
expected to be near EHA around 18z Sun, GCK/LBL through 21z Sun,
near DDC 21z Sun through 00z Mon, and near HYS 00-03z Mon. Rain
showers will move rapidly northeast through the airports, with
minimal reductions in visibility and limited impacts on aviation
operations. After 18z Sun, south winds will increase at
GCK/LBL/DDC with gusts to near 25 kts. Briefly higher gusts may
occur with passing showers. High confidence that flight
categories will degrade after 00z Mon, with widespread IFR
stratus expected.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Turner