Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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422 ACUS01 KWNS 150037 SWODY1 SPC AC 150035 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0635 PM CST Fri Nov 14 2025 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may impact parts of southern California late tonight into early Saturday morning, but organized severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...01z Update... Early-evening satellite imagery depicts a notable upper trough off the southern CA Coast. This feature is forecast to drop south overnight as 500mb speed max digs into the base of the trough west of the northern Baja Peninsula. Net result will be weak midlevel height falls along the southern CA Coast through sunrise. While the associated surface front will not surge inland until later in the day2 period, weak midlevel buoyancy is expected to develop after 06z which may prove sufficient for a few flashes of lightning within pre frontal warm conveyor elevated convection. ..Darrow.. 11/15/2025 $$