Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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484
ACUS03 KWNS 120721
SWODY3
SPC AC 120720

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0120 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday or Friday night.

...Discussion...
A closed upper low will fully cutoff from the westerlies by Friday
night, drifting offshore of southern CA. Bands of showers should
persist through much of the period in the onshore flow regime across
coastal southern CA. While mid-level lapse rates will remain weak,
scant elevated buoyancy should be maintained and may foster isolated
thunderstorms. MUCAPE will become negligible with eastern extent
over the Mojave Desert, likely yielding a confined thunder threat
through 12Z Saturday.

..Grams.. 11/12/2025

$$