Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
932 FXUS64 KEPZ 071210 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 510 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 451 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 - No significant weather impacts are expected through next week. - Dry conditions, typical afternoon breezes, and a gradual warming trend will occur this weekend through next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1058 PM MST Sat Dec 6 2025 Very quiet weather for the reliably foreseeable future. A bit breezy on the east side of El Paso this evening as a very weak shortwave trough is rolling through, with a bit of a wind maximum around the 850 mb level. This is resulting in periodic gusty winds on the downslope side of the Franklins (and low level wind shear at times at ELP). Outside of East El Paso, winds are much lighter, and temperatures are cooling off fairly quickly. Dewpoints are a bit higher, and and overall warmer air mass is in place. So while we`ll likely see our usual cold spots develop, we shouldn`t see quite the extremes we saw Fri Night/Saturday morning, where the colder valleys up in the Gila dipped into the lower to middle-10s, and much of the rural Mesilla Valley was in the lower to middle-20s. High temperatures the next few days will be fairly steady-state through Tuesday, then quickly ramp up into the 70s on Wednesday, as lee troughing enhances westerly flow slightly. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 451 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Our ceilings today and tonight will be unlimited. The weak upper level storm system that gave us breezy (and even windy conditions at KELP) has moved off and we will see lower winds today. We could see a few hours of low end gusty winds this afternoon, but then as we move into the evening hours we will see light and variable winds which will continue into Monday morning. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 451 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025 We will have quiet fire weather conditions this week. The weak upper level storm system that brought us breezy winds on Saturday has moved off and we will see generally light winds today. We could have a few hours of low end gusty winds this afternoon. The generally light winds will continue through much of the coming work week. Min RH`s today through mid week will be in the mid teens in the lowlands and in the 20`s in area mountains. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 38 64 37 66 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 33 61 34 62 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 32 60 33 63 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 30 61 33 63 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 27 44 29 46 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 33 59 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 33 60 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 32 64 31 67 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 31 62 30 64 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 37 62 37 64 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 23 64 24 67 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 32 67 31 69 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 33 57 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 32 64 32 66 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 34 61 34 63 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 39 62 40 64 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 27 60 27 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 29 64 30 67 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 33 64 33 67 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 32 59 32 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 29 59 33 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 26 54 28 57 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 25 53 27 55 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 26 58 26 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 34 60 35 65 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 30 60 30 62 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 24 61 21 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 30 61 29 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 26 65 26 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 23 62 22 64 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 32 59 32 64 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 32 64 32 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 33 62 33 65 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 29 64 29 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 34 62 33 64 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...15-Brice