Area Forecast Discussion
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932
FXUS64 KEPZ 071210
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
510 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025

...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 451 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025

 - No significant weather impacts are expected through next week.

 - Dry conditions, typical afternoon breezes, and a gradual
   warming trend will occur this weekend through next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1058 PM MST Sat Dec 6 2025

Very quiet weather for the reliably foreseeable future. A bit
breezy on the east side of El Paso this evening as a very weak
shortwave trough is rolling through, with a bit of a wind maximum
around the 850 mb level. This is resulting in periodic gusty
winds on the downslope side of the Franklins (and low level wind
shear at times at ELP).

Outside of East El Paso, winds are much lighter, and temperatures
are cooling off fairly quickly. Dewpoints are a bit higher, and
and overall warmer air mass is in place. So while we`ll likely see
our usual cold spots develop, we shouldn`t see quite the extremes
we saw Fri Night/Saturday morning, where the colder valleys up in
the Gila dipped into the lower to middle-10s, and much of the
rural Mesilla Valley was in the lower to middle-20s.

High temperatures the next few days will be fairly steady-state
through Tuesday, then quickly ramp up into the 70s on Wednesday,
as lee troughing enhances westerly flow slightly.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 451 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Our ceilings
today and tonight will be unlimited. The weak upper level storm
system that gave us breezy (and even windy conditions at KELP) has
moved off and we will see lower winds today. We could see a few
hours of low end gusty winds this afternoon, but then as we move
into the evening hours we will see light and variable winds which
will continue into Monday morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 451 AM MST Sun Dec 7 2025

We will have quiet fire weather conditions this week. The weak
upper level storm system that brought us breezy winds on Saturday
has moved off and we will see generally light winds today. We
could have a few hours of low end gusty winds this afternoon. The
generally light winds will continue through much of the coming
work week. Min RH`s today through mid week will be in the mid
teens in the lowlands and in the 20`s in area mountains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  38  64  37  66 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            33  61  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               32  60  33  63 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               30  61  33  63 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               27  44  29  46 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    33  59  33  62 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              33  60  31  62 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   32  64  31  67 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                31  62  30  64 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       37  62  37  64 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                23  64  24  67 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             32  67  31  69 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               33  57  34  58 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   32  64  32  66 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             34  61  34  63 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           39  62  40  64 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            27  60  27  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    29  64  30  67 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 33  64  33  67 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                32  59  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  29  59  33  61 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                26  54  28  57 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 25  53  27  55 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  26  58  26  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                34  60  35  65 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                30  60  30  62 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             24  61  21  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   30  61  29  64 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    26  65  26  67 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               23  62  22  64 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  32  59  32  64 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   32  64  32  66 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  33  62  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           29  64  29  67 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               34  62  33  64 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...15-Brice