Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
777 FXUS64 KEPZ 101222 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 522 AM MST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 442 AM MST Wed Dec 10 2025 - No significant weather impacts are expected through next week. - Dry conditions, typical afternoon breezes, and a gradual warming trend will occur this week with near record highs possible Thursday and Friday. - A back door cold front will bring some breezy to windy conditions to the region Saturday night into Sunday morning. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1009 PM MST Tue Dec 9 2025 No changes from previous forecast packages as a quiet weather pattern persists over the Desert Southwest through the work week and into the weekend. Strong upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific will continue to promote dry northwesterly flow over the Borderland Region. All in all, expect quiet and fair weather conditions through the work week and weekend. High temperatures will continue to increase each day with highs becoming 10-17 degrees above average Wednesday through Friday. The warmest temperatures will be on Thursday and Friday, with near record values across the desert lowlands. Cloud coverage will be a minimum with instances of high level cirrus from time to time. Winds each afternoon will be light to low-end breezy, typical diurnal wind flow regime. Quiet and fair weather conditions continue this weekend. Model guidance is hinting at a cold front moving in from the east during the weekend timeframe with temperatures cooling back to the middle to upper 60s. The benign and pleasant weather patterns will continue into next week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 522 AM MST Wed Dec 10 2025 We will have VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. Currently we have light and variable winds across the region, but later this morning into the afternoon, a weak backdoor cold front will push across the area from the east to the west. The front will swing our winds around to the east and may give us some low end gusty winds for a few hours. The winds will slow and return to light and variable during the evening hours. Our ceilings today and tonight will remain unlimited. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 522 AM MST Wed Dec 10 2025 Our quiet weather conditions will continue today through the weekend. A weak cold front will push across the region today from the east to the west. The front will swing our surface winds around to the east and we could see some low end wind gusts, but winds will stay well below any critical levels. The winds for the rest of the week through Sunday will also stay well below critical levels. Min RH`s will stay in the range of 15 to 30% through Sunday with the lowest readings Friday and Saturday, when we will have our warmer days. No sign of any precipitation through Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 40 69 42 71 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 34 65 37 67 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 35 66 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 34 67 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 30 52 34 54 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 38 66 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 37 67 40 69 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 35 70 37 72 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 35 68 36 70 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 41 66 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 30 69 33 72 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 36 71 37 73 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 38 60 40 65 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 35 69 37 71 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 36 65 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 42 67 45 70 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 33 66 35 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 34 70 35 72 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 37 69 39 72 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 34 64 35 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 34 68 40 66 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 32 62 34 65 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 30 60 34 62 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 32 66 34 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 39 67 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 32 66 35 68 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 32 68 33 69 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 35 68 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 34 72 34 73 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 35 69 34 70 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 38 67 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 35 70 39 72 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 34 69 36 71 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 36 71 39 73 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 41 69 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...15-Brice