Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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FXUS62 KFFC 121903
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
303 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions for much of the week with temperatures warming
up to well above normal.
- Confidence is increasing that a much cooler airmass will move
in for next weekend behind a strong cold front.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 250 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Pleasant but warm weather is on tap for most of this week across
North and Central Georgia as a mid-level ridge and surface high
pressure build over the Southeast US. Today will be a bit of a
transition day as the high starts to build in, with enough of a
pressure gradient to create breezy northwest winds gusting to
around 20-25 mph through early evening. High temperatures will
climb to the low to mid 80s under skies.
As the pressure gradient weakens overnight winds will become
nearly calm, allowing for excellent radiational cooling with
temperatures falling to the upper 50s for most. The warming trend
continues tomorrow, with highs climbing into the mid to upper 80s
across much of the area. These temps are around 10-15 degrees
above normal, and we could even see Atlanta`s daily high
temperature record of 86 be met or broken.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 250 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Very little change in the long term forecast for this afternoon.
Ridge continues to build in overhead through the week bringing
mostly clear skies and some very warm temps to north and central
Georgia. Highs are still forecast to be 10-20 degrees above
average for highs and lows through Friday. Current forecast will
definitely be close to record highs at a some of the climate
sites, depending on the day and the site, and we very well could
break some. This means highs in the mid to upper 80s and even a
few 90s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s.
This is above average, but not close to record high minimums which
are generally in the 70s (think high dewpoint days/tropical
events in October). Air will be humid for October with dewpoints
in the mid to upper 60s through Friday.
Low over the 4 corners region is still progged to eject into the
Great Plains on Thursday and merge with trough digging into the
same area. Large trough spreads over the eastern CONUS driving
early season cold air down from the Arctic. Timing remains a
little uncertain, but best current timing pushes the cold front in
rapidly overnight Friday into Saturday morning. Much cooler air
comes in behind with highs on Saturday in the 60s and 70s. Sunday
will likely be the coolest night of the Fall so far, with lows in
the 40s and maybe a few 30s. 10th percentile NBM is showing things
being right at the verge for frost advisory in parts of NE GA, so
that will bear some watching.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 124 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
VFR conditions through the period with mostly SKC outside of
patchy fog Tues AM across far North GA. Winds out of the NNW at
8-12 kts gusting to 18-20 kts this afternoon, weakening to 5 kts
or less this evening and staying that way through the rest of the
period.
//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High for all elements.
Culver
&&
.CLIMATE...
Issued at 250 PM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
A very warm airmass will spread over the area through most of the
week, with temperatures potentially approaching or exceeding
record highs at the climate sites from Tuesday to Friday.
&&
Records for 10-13
Max Temperature Min Temperature
Station High Low High Low
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 88 1933 58 1994 66 1995 35 1917
1920 1909 1985
1907 1926
KATL 86 1954 58 1907 68 1949 37 1917
1907
KCSG 93 1904 64 1977 70 2001 40 1917
1982
KMCN 92 1969 61 1907 70 1982 37 1917
Records for 10-14
Max Temperature Min Temperature
Station High Low High Low
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 91 1928 59 1907 64 1985 31 1988
1970
1954
KATL 87 1940 57 1885 70 1886 38 1979
1907
KCSG 90 1984 50 1907 70 2017 37 1988
1954
KMCN 90 1970 59 1922 68 1970 32 1988
1954
1915
Records for 10-15
Max Temperature Min Temperature
Station High Low High Low
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 88 2021 54 2002 65 1985 33 2006
1931 1971
KATL 86 2025 55 1937 67 1985 36 1978
1935 1971
1947
KCSG 93 1919 59 1964 71 1971 37 1978
1955
KMCN 91 1970 58 2002 70 1928 33 1987
1945 1925
Records for 10-16
Max Temperature Min Temperature
Station High Low High Low
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 89 1920 60 1977 66 2018 35 1939
1919 1959
1954
KATL 85 1941 57 1997 69 1925 38 1939
1919 1940
KCSG 92 1919 62 1959 71 1925 37 1955
KMCN 92 2018 59 1898 71 1928 35 1987
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens 57 86 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
Atlanta 61 86 62 87 / 0 0 0 0
Blairsville 54 82 57 84 / 0 0 0 0
Cartersville 58 87 59 88 / 0 0 0 0
Columbus 60 89 61 90 / 0 0 0 0
Gainesville 60 85 61 86 / 0 0 0 0
Macon 57 88 60 89 / 0 0 0 0
Rome 56 87 56 88 / 0 0 0 0
Peachtree City 57 87 58 89 / 0 0 0 0
Vidalia 60 86 62 87 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Culver
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...Culver