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000
FXUS62 KFFC 291835
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
235 PM EDT Mon May 29 2023


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 206 PM EDT Mon May 29 2023

The upper low continues to track northeast this afternoon with a
current placement near the SC/NC state line closer to the coast.
Per latest GOES satellite imagery and the location of the upper
low, SCT/BKN midlevel clouds are still hanging on across much of
the state. This has allowed for cooler temperatures particularly
across the NW part of the state with readings in the upper 60s to
low 80s in areas with less cloud cover. NW winds will gradually
diminish this evening as the low departs and pressure gradient
weakens. Overnight lows are forecast to be in the upper 50s to
low 60s.

NW winds are expected to shift back to the NE Tuesday morning. With
the return of more easterly flow, there is a possibility of some
lower clouds to develop across the northeast during the morning
hours. Additionally a weak wedge front looks to develop across the
Appalachians becoming the focus for a slight chance of showers
and potentially a few thunderstorms during the afternoon hours.
Best chances look to be north of the I-20 corridor. High
temperatures will be in the 80s with lows in the 60s.

07

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 206 PM EDT Mon May 29 2023

Starting off the forecast on Wednesday, much of Georgia will be
wedged in but where models previously predicted a drier pattern, it
is now looking like more of a dirty ridge type pattern. With this,
starting Wednesday afternoon rain chances can be expected through
much of the weekend before tapering off after sunset. Later in
the week, interaction with a gulf low over the Florida panhandle
will cause a bit of an unsettled pattern int he form of daily
afternoon showers and thunderstorm. Instability at this time doe
not look impressive but there could be a few storms with lightning
being the main impact. Towards the later part of the weekend rain
chances look limited as the gulf low moves across Florida and
into the Carolinas Sunday into Monday. PoPs have been kept low on
those days, but overall summer is coming and that means almost
daily pop up showers and thunderstorms.

 With the wedge in place temps are forecast to warm to the mid 80s
for highs in central Georgia but stay in the mid to upper 70s for
northeast through the middle of the week before the moisture moves
in raising temps and humidity for the later portion of the week into
the weekend. 90s are not in the forecast yet but we are definitely
on a warming trend through the weekend with highs topping out in
the mid 80s for the first day of meteorological summer on
Thursday.


Hernandez

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 138 PM EDT Mon May 29 2023

MVFR deck encompassing ATL sites slowly starting to scatter out
this afternoon. Expecting clouds to stick around through at least
30/00z. NW winds will persist through the afternoon 8-12kts with
intermittent gusts up to 18kts. Winds will shift to the NE side
between 08-10z. Given NE winds there is a possibility of moisture
being advected back into the region in the way of some lower
clouds near 12-14z Tuesday. Will continue to monitor for this
potential with the next TAF issuance.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium to high confidence on all elements.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          61  81  62  79 /  10  20  10  40
Atlanta         62  83  64  81 /   0  20  10  30
Blairsville     56  77  58  76 /  20  40  20  50
Cartersville    58  84  63  83 /   0  20  10  40
Columbus        60  86  66  85 /   0  10  10  30
Gainesville     62  80  63  79 /   0  20  10  30
Macon           60  85  64  83 /   0  10  10  40
Rome            59  83  63  83 /   0  20  10  30
Peachtree City  59  83  63  82 /   0  20  10  30
Vidalia         62  86  66  84 /   0  10  10  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...07