Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 261141
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
741 AM EDT Sun May 26 2019


.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Today through Monday/...

High pressure will continue to dominate through the short term
period with both high and low temperatures about 10 to 15 degrees
above average. For today, highs will be in the mid-to-upper 90s
across the area up to the low 100s across central Georgia. Several
daily records will have the potential to be broken this afternoon
(see Climate section below for reference) in addition to the
potential for all-time record highs for May to be broken.

All-time record highs for May:
Atlanta:   97 degrees F in 1914 and 1941
Athens:   100 degrees F in 1918 and 1926
Columbus: 100 degrees F in 1916 and 1937
Macon:     99 degrees F in 1898, 1953, 1967 and 2019

With afternoon dewpoints in the 60s, heat index values will be in
the 100 to 103 range in portions of central Georgia. While these
values are below Heat Advisory criteria, those engaging in outside
activities should take precautions and exercise good heat safety by
making sure to wear light/loose fitting clothing, drink plenty of
water and take frequent breaks to cool down inside.

For Monday, temperatures will continue to be well above average with
dry conditions across much of the area. There`s an outside chance
for some precip in the far NE mountains in the afternoon, but only
included slight chance for now.

Reaves

&&

.LONG TERM /Monday Night through Saturday/...

Long term portion begins with, you guessed it, hot and dry
conditions. Mid level ridge will begin to break down ever so
slightly which could yield temps a few degrees downward from
recent values but still well above normal. There will be some
shortwave energy riding on the northern periphery of the ridge but
anticipate it remaining largely north of the local area and will
continue with no pops.

We actually get some instability going for the northern half of
the area Wed but mid level energy will be even less. 2000 J/KG
will be higher than the previous days values but likely still not
enough to generate any precip across the area and will keep
forecast pops free. Pretty steady state on the temperatures with
mid to upper 90s and southeast sections approaching 100.

Will actually see a front approach the area late Thu into Friday
brining enhanced deep layer moisture and a strong shortwave
through the Tennessee valley. I have my doubts as to how much
moisture and precip this front will actually bring given strength
of ridge it is trying to replace. Will go along with guidance with
chance pops but lean closer to low end chance rather than mid
range for now.

Deese

&&

.CLIMATE...


Records for 05-26

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      99 1911     63 1963     72 2004     41 1979
   KATL      94 1936     64 1923     73 1989     43 1979
                1916        1901
                1911
   KCSG      98 1933     75 1961     74 2000     47 1979
                            1906        1989
   KMCN      98 1962     69 1901     72 1921     49 1979

Records for 05-27

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      97 1916     70 1997     71 1991     40 1961
                            1961
   KATL      95 1916     62 1901     75 1916     41 1961
   KCSG      98 1916     65 1901     76 2012     45 1961
                1911
   KMCN      99 1953     67 1901     74 1991     45 1961
                                        1953

Records for 05-28

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      97 1914     65 1997     71 2004     43 1925
                            1934        1982
                                        1916
   KATL      94 1941     63 1997     72 1991     42 1961
                            1915
   KCSG     100 1916     68 1997     79 1911     43 1961
   KMCN      99 1967     63 1934     74 1991     46 1961
                                        1924

Records for 05-29

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      99 1941     60 1992     70 2018     50 1968
                                        1991
                                        1982
   KMCN      98 2011     73 2008     73 2018     50 1968
                1914        1901        1924
   KATL      97 1941     61 1997     74 1914     49 1984
                1914
   KCSG      99 1941     71 1934     76 1905     48 1961
                1937

Records for 05-30

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      97 1941     66 2005     71 2018     46 1984
   KATL      94 1898     63 1984     74 1941     44 1984
   KCSG     100 1937     70 1984     76 1905     49 1984
   KMCN      98 1898     70 1922     75 1982     49 1984

Records for 05-31

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KCSG      99 1945     70 2005     76 1941     49 1984
   KAHN     100 1918     65 1938     72 1941     43 1984
   KATL      95 1953     59 1889     73 1991     41 1889
   KMCN      99 1953     65 1901     77 1941     48 1984
                1898

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z Update... VFR conditions expected through the period with a
few/sct cu field this afternoon at about 5-7kft. Winds should be
mainly W/NW, 10kts or less this afternoon/evening.

//ATL Confidence..12Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

Reaves

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          96  69  96  71 /   0   0   5   5
Atlanta         95  72  95  73 /   0   0  10   5
Blairsville     87  63  88  65 /   5   0  20   5
Cartersville    94  69  95  69 /   0   0  10   5
Columbus        98  73  97  73 /   0   0  10   0
Gainesville     92  70  93  71 /   0   0  10   5
Macon           99  71  99  73 /   0   0   5   0
Rome            94  68  95  68 /   0   0  10   0
Peachtree City  95  69  96  69 /   0   0  10   0
Vidalia        100  75 100  75 /   5   5   5   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reaves
LONG TERM....Deese
AVIATION...Reaves


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