918
FXUS62 KFFC 031133
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
633 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 609 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

 - Cloudy and cooler conditions, particularly across northeast GA,
   will be felt through Tonight due to a building CAD wedge.

 - Spring-like warmth mid-week through the weekend.

 - Rain chances return late this week through the weekend.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 240 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Low ceilings moving into the area as the CAD wedge strengthens
this morning. High pressure centered just off the upper east coast
building down the the eastern seaboard with cool, moist, easterly
flow pushing into NE GA. This wedge of high pressure will continue
across the area today keeping cloudy conditions across most of
north and central GA. Temps across NE portions of the state will
be much cooler due to the cool easterly flow under the wedge so
expecting highs in the 50s and lower 60s across that area. The
wedge does begin to weaken this afternoon and we will see the
clouds scatter out, but low ceilings will build back in as the
easterly flow continues over night. Winds turn to the S to SE
shortly after sunrise Wednesday so not expecting as much cloud
cover tomorrow. Temps will be warmer Wednesday with highs in the
70s to lower 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 240 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Thursday & Friday:

The latest ensemble guidance seems to be in better agreement
regarding the strength of the expansive subtropical ridge over the
Eastern Seaboard at the end of the week. This latest forecast
package favors reduced PoPs on Thursday and Friday, as the
drying/stabilizing effects of the ridge may be enough to keep shower
and storm development isolated at most. Widespread highs in the 80s
are expected both days. If this drier synoptic setup is realized and
cloud cover remains minimal, daily record highs at our four main
climate sites (ATL, AHN, CSG, MCN) may be met or broken.

This Weekend & Monday:

Ensemble guidance is in general agreement that the subtropical ridge
will gradually relinquish its grip over north and central Georgia
Saturday into Sunday as a mid-/upper-level shortwave trough
traverses the northern tier of the CONUS and zonal flow expands
southward across the Ohio River Valley. The result is 30% to 50%
PoPs each day, which translates to daily potential for isolated to
scattered showers and storms. Strong winds aloft have been
consistently progged to remain well north of the County Warning Area
(CWA) so kinematics will be lacking for storm organization and
longevity. Marginal instability (at a minimum) should not be hard to
come by, though, given Gulf moisture overspreading the region amid
deep-layer southerly flow. As a result, there will be potential for
isolated thunderstorms. The weak winds aloft coupled with diurnally-
driven instability sets the stage for a summer-like pattern, so a
widespread severe weather threat continues to look unlikely. Similar
to Thursday and Friday, high temperatures will continue to run 15-20
degrees above average for early March.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

No major changes from the 06z Tafs. Low ceilings continuing across the
TAF sites this morning. These low ceilings associated with the
CAD wedge across the state. These low ceilings will continue
through most of the day but will see them SCT out late afternoon
as the wedge begins to loose strength. Low ceilings will build
back in early Wed morning but they will be short lived. Winds will
stay mainly out of the E in the 8-12kt range turning to the SE
Wed morning. Wind speeds Wed will only get up into the 3-7kt
range. No precipitation or restrictions to VSBYs expected.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          62  49  76  55 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         65  52  78  58 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     59  45  74  50 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    65  52  79  57 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        75  53  81  58 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     59  49  76  54 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           72  52  79  57 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            69  53  83  57 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  68  51  78  56 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         74  55  81  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Martin
AVIATION...01