467
FXUS62 KFFC 040132
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
832 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026



...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Shower and thunderstorm coverage quickly increases on Wednesday
  as a cold front approaches.

- While a significant severe weather and flooding threat is not
  expected, there is a low-end risk for an isolated strong to
  severe thunderstorm capable of producing gusty winds as well as
  nuisance flooding in low-lying or poor drainage areas.

- Above-normal temperatures continue through Friday with cooler
  and slightly more seasonal temperatures returning this weekend
  and early next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Today`s cloudy and gray weather (and occasional sprinkles/light
rain showers) foreshadows the weather on Wednesday when more
widespread showers and thunderstorms will expand across the area.
For the remainder of today, a few intermittent sprinkles/light
rain showers will remain possible as moisture overrides the weak
CAD wedge still in place. Otherwise, only occasional breaks in
mostly cloudy skies will occur.

Meanwhile, an increasingly vertically-stacked low pressure system
will lift into the Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes region
by tomorrow morning, pushing a cold front toward the forecast area.
Moisture depth and quality will increase ahead of the front, with
widespread showers increasing across northwest Georgia by morning.
The wedge will gradually erode through midday, allowing instability
to increase by the afternoon with 500-1200 J/kg SBCAPE forecast -
sufficient for scattered thunderstorm development. By this point,
more favorable shear will be lifting northward out of the area,
restricting the overall severe threat. With that said, there may be
a limited window where a low-end threat for a couple strong to
isolated severe thunderstorms capable of gusty winds could occur,
primarily across northwest Georgia before the overlap in shear and
instability becomes further displaced.

Otherwise, locally heavy rainfall will remain possible in north
Georgia as PWATs surge into the 1.5 to near 2" range. While no
significant flooding threat is expected given antecedent dry
conditions, a couple of nuisance/street flooding instances can`t
be ruled out, particularly where any training could enhance
localized totals. A few spots could end up with totals over 2",
mainly in far north Georgia and the north Georgia mountains. In
general, though, rainfall will be welcome and beneficial after
several weeks of dry conditions.

Showers and embedded storms will then gradually shift eastward into
Wednesday night but will not end entirely as the surface front will
lose forward push and remain trailing across the area headed into
Thursday.

Temperatures will stay well above normal (especially overnight)
given the moist and humid airmass in place. In fact, forecast lows
are within a few degrees of daily record warm minimums both
Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 208 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

The extended periods begin Thu morning with the frontal boundary
nearly stalled across the area. The front should be somewhere near
an ATL to CSG line and it does not make much SERLY progress through
Thu night. This will keep at least chance PoPs across the CWA through
Fri morning/early afternoon. A second dry frontal boundary pushes
into NW GA Fri afternoon and pushes the 1st boundary out of the
region Fri night. The bulk of the precip is expected to fall Wed/Wed
night but we should still see an additional 0.1" to 0.5" across the
area Thu to Fri morning.  The better instability values and dynamics
with this system stay well north of the state along the front as it
moves east through the Mid-Atlantic states. Widespread severe
weather is not expected.

This system finally pushes south of the state just before daybreak
Sat as another high pressure ridge begins to build into the
southeastern U.S. from the Northern/Central Plains. This will cool
things of a bit as we get into the beginning of next week.

Temperatures will be mainly in the 70s to lower 80s through Friday
with highs cooling into the 60s and 70s Sat/Sun. Low temps expected
in the 50s and 60s through Fri with lows in the 40s and 50s Sat/Sun.
May even see some upper 30s across the NE GA mountains Sun night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 828 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Cigs lower through tonight, becmg IFR by around 07-10Z over Atlanta
metro. LIFR is likely, as well, after around 12-13Z. Showers are
expected starting early morning. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms
are possible during the late morning and through the evening.
SHRA/TSRA will be intermittent. Improvement in cigs during day
tomorrow will be limited - likely only as good as IFR or low MVFR
for all TAF sites.


//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Low for thunderstorms & their timing, medium for all other
elements

CRS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          62  75  64  77 /  10  80  80  40
Atlanta         66  73  65  77 /  30  90  50  40
Blairsville     57  66  58  73 /  40  90  70  40
Cartersville    64  73  62  76 /  40  90  60  30
Columbus        66  78  65  81 /  30  80  40  40
Gainesville     63  69  64  75 /  30  90  90  40
Macon           65  80  64  81 /  10  80  70  20
Rome            63  73  60  76 /  50  90  50  20
Peachtree City  64  74  63  78 /  30  90  60  40
Vidalia         66  84  67  84 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...CRS