Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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FXUS62 KFFC 031830
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
130 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 127 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
- Dry, sunnier conditions today will come to a quick end on
Thursday as clouds rapidly return, followed by increasing
rainfall.
- Wintry precipitation potential Thursday night/Friday
morning remains very low.
- Waves of rain through the weekend will bring rainfall
totals of 1-3" with locally higher amounts, particularly
for areas south of I-20.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 127 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
The dry conditions accompanied by a return to sunshine for many
of us today will be very brief and come to a quick end tomorrow.
Still, Thursday morning lows will dip near or below freezing for
the bulk of the area before clouds thicken up too much. A
shortwave will then quickly approach the region amid southwest
flow aloft on Thursday, with isentropic lift gradually increasing
through the afternoon. Clouds will be quick to increase through
the morning with the initial chance for light rain showers
beginning increase from midday into the afternoon. The highest
chance for showers will be across Middle Georgia through Thursday
evening. Widespread clouds will help to hold down high
temperatures some 8-12 degrees below normal, ranging from the
upper 40s to mid 50s.
Meanwhile, surface high pressure will rapidly slide across the Ohio
Valley tomorrow and into the Northeast by Friday morning, setting up
a CAD wedge and its associated cool, northeasterly surface flow.
Widespread moderate to occasionally heavier rainfall will overspread
the area in earnest overnight Thursday night into early Friday
morning as the surface low pushes eastward along the Gulf Coast.
While this setup (cold CAD wedge in place, overspreading moisture)
can favor wintry precipitation, this risk continues to appear more
appreciable for areas farther north and east of our area (into the
Carolinas), as the degree of cold air in place appears insufficient
for any significant concerns through Thursday night into Friday
morning. As such, cold rain continues to the expectation at this
juncture, even in the mountains. Even so, the low-end potential for
any brief, light freezing rain in the highest elevations of the
northeast Georgia mountains will continue to be monitored as the
system approaches.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday morning through next Tuesday)
Issued at 127 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
The long term picks up with a stalled front across the southeast
that will be the source of a few days of rain. Given the cold air
behind it, the threat for thunderstorms remain near zero. Highs will
be in the mid 40s and lows in the upper 30s and rainfall totals will
range from half an inch across north Georgia to around two inches
south of I-20. We`re still pretty dry out there and all this rain
will continue to help ease the drought conditions across Georgia. As
a result we aren`t too concerned about the risk of widespread
flooding. That being said, urban areas like Macon and Columbus
should keep an eye on the forecast as some of the more flashy areas
around the city.
By Sunday, a strong cold front will push through the southeast and
we`ll see temperatures drop back towards freezing during the
overnight hours as dry air is filtered back into the area. As we get
into a more settled period next week, we`re expecting highs in the
upper 40s and mid 50s with overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower
30s. There is some indication that temps will start to rebound
towards the middle of next week but models are kind of all over the
place when it comes to the possibility of warm air advection into
the region. So, stay tuned.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025
While primarily VFR conditions have returned, areas of MVFR
linger, primarily at AHN/MCN. FEW/SCT MVFR clouds 2.5-3 kft could
return at times to ATL sites this afternoon but cigs are expected
to remain largely east. Otherwise, cigs should clear more
assuredly by 00Z. VFR cigs 6-10 kft will then return after 12-15Z
Thursday with MVFR possible by 20-22Z Friday. Iso -SHRA should
hold off until after 18-20Z Friday. Winds remain NW to W at 3-5
kts.
//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on cigs.
High confidence on other elements.
RW
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens 32 52 40 45 / 0 20 90 100
Atlanta 34 50 41 48 / 0 30 90 100
Blairsville 29 48 34 44 / 0 10 90 90
Cartersville 28 50 37 48 / 0 20 90 90
Columbus 34 52 42 53 / 0 50 90 100
Gainesville 34 52 40 44 / 0 20 90 100
Macon 32 54 42 52 / 0 40 90 100
Rome 32 53 40 51 / 0 20 90 90
Peachtree City 30 51 39 49 / 0 30 90 100
Vidalia 35 57 45 56 / 0 30 70 90
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...RW