Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
381 FXUS64 KFWD 200632 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 132 AM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Prolonged dry and hot conditions are expected this week with temperatures in the mid 90s to low 100s. - A Heat Advisory will go into effect for much of North and Central Texas this afternoon and evening for peak heat index values up to 108 degrees. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 130 AM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026 Strong upper ridging will start to settle over North and Central Texas on Monday beginning a prolonged period of hot and dry conditions. Expect afternoon highs in the mid 90s to lower 100s today beneath mostly sunny skies. A Heat Advisory will go into effect at noon today across much of North and Central Texas for heat index values up to 108 degrees. Overnight lows will struggle to fall below 80 degrees for some inside the Metroplex Monday night. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 130 AM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026 An anomalous 596-597 dam mid-level ridge will settle over the Southern Plains by Tuesday afternoon launching temperatures up into the 100-105 degree range across the region by midweek. A Heat Advisory will likely continue into Tuesday afternoon and beyond with a low chance for an Extreme Heat Warning across parts of North Texas as we get further into the week and heat index values potentially approach 110+ degrees. Record high overnight lows may be experienced during the middle of the week with some parts of North Texas failing to fall below the mid 80s. Take the necessary steps to keep you and your loved ones safe from heat-related illness. One caveat to this HOT forecast: we will be monitoring current Tropical Depression Two in the eastern Gulf over the next several days. Current guidance does steer this tropical system toward the southern or southeastern Texas coast in the Thursday-Friday timeframe which may bring increased moisture, cloud cover, and rain chances to parts of Central Texas during the latter half of the week. The ultimate track of this system remains highly uncertain and will determine if/where we may see greater rain chances and slightly less hot temperatures. We should start to get a better idea of the storm track over the next 24-36 hours. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 130 AM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026 VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with south- southwest winds at 8-12 kts. SCT to BKN MVFR cigs will develop across parts of Central Texas once again but should largely remain south of KACT (brief ~1-2kft cigs may move over the terminal after 12Z). && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 102 81 104 84 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 101 76 99 80 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 99 76 99 78 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 102 78 104 81 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 101 79 103 81 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 102 81 104 84 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 101 77 101 79 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 100 77 100 81 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 100 74 99 78 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 100 74 102 76 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-101>107-116>123-131>135-144>148-158>162-174-175. && $$ SHORT TERM...Langfeld LONG TERM....Langfeld AVIATION...Langfeld