Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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947
FXUS64 KFWD 051857
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1257 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dense fog is expected to develop tonight, reducing visibility to
  1/4 mile or less.

- Near to below normal temperatures will continue through Monday,
  with above normal temperatures expected the rest of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1244 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

A potent jet stream remains positioned atop North and Central
Texas with wind speeds exceeding 140 mph 25,000 feet above us.
This is leading to a continued stream of elevated Pacific
moisture, bringing North and Central Texas filtered sunshine.

As we progress through the rest of the day, the elevated moisture
will gradually come to an end, leaving cool conditions through
the night. Temperatures tonight will bottom out in the 30s across
North Texas with lower 40s in Central Texas.

A subtle area of low pressure will migrate eastward out of West
Texas overnight, helping to draw moisture northward into North and
Central Texas. The increasing moisture atop the cool surface
temperatures will lead to rapid development of fog through much of
North Texas. There is good consensus in the guidance that
widespread dense fog will impact the region, therefore, a Dense
Fog Advisory has been issued for Saturday morning. Visibility of
1/4 mile or less will become a hazard to motorists, therefore,
make sure to drive slow tomorrow morning!

The fog will gradually erode through the morning hours, leaving
behind partly cloudy skies across the region. Temperatures
tomorrow will range from the mid 50s along the Red River to the
lower 70s in Central Texas.

A reinforcing cold front will push across the region Saturday
night, keeping the cool temperatures in place for Sunday across
North Texas. Saturday night`s cold front will have a bigger impact
in Central Texas as highs on Sunday will remain in the 60s in
Central Texas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1244 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Although the weather pattern will remain active across the
Central Plains, moisture content will be lacking through the end
of the week across North and Central Texas. The forecast will
remain precipitation-free with a warming trend going into the
middle of the week. By Wednesday, highs will be in the 60s and 70s
across the region, which is roughly 9-12 degrees above normal for
this time of the year.

Another cold front looks probable a week from today, ushering in
temperatures much closer to normal. Precipitation, however,
remains unlikely.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Concerns...Dense fog will impact all North Texas TAF sites
tomorrow morning.

A period of IFR-LIFR visibility looks likely between 11-14z.
Improvements are expected to commence closer to 15z with VFR
returning by the afternoon. Wind direction should remain fairly
unimpactful to area airports as winds will range from south to
southeast overnight, returning to south late tomorrow morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    39  58  43  59 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                43  67  47  62 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               34  55  40  56 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              34  57  38  57 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            36  57  41  57 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              40  59  44  60 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             38  60  43  60 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           43  65  47  63 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              42  70  47  65 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       36  64  40  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez