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000
FXUS63 KGID 042345
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
645 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023

...Aviation Update...

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 322 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023

Key Messages:

* There is a slight chance of rain showers Thursday night across
  most of the area.

* Low temperatures Friday night are expected to drop into the 20s
  and 30s with widespread frost conditions likely. Freezing
  temperatures are possible for portions of the area.

* Temperatures on Thursday will be similar to those today. A cold
  front with gusty northerly winds is expected on Friday with
  highs mostly in the 50s. Temperatures will warm through the
  weekend.

Today through Thursday night...

A big upper trough extends from Canada south towards Arizona. North
to northwest winds are across south central and central Nebraska and
north central Kansas behind the cold front. High temperatures today
are expected to be in the mid 60s to mid 70s. Winds will become
southerly this evening then shift to the west later tonight. Low
temperatures tonight will mostly be in the 40s with mostly clear
skies. Northerly surface winds will move across the area on Thursday
as the upper trough moves slightly eastward. The northerly winds
will keep temperatures on Thursday fairly similar to those today.
Low temperatures Thursday night are expected to mostly be in the
40s. Rain showers are possible Thursday night across most of the
area.

Friday through Saturday night...

An upper low will move southeastward out of Canada within the main
upper trough on Friday. This will result in another cold front
pushing through Nebraska and Kansas on Friday as the upper trough
moves to the east. This front will result in high temperatures
mostly in the 50s on Friday with gusty north to northwest winds. The
surface high will move closer to the area Friday night with light
west to northwest winds and mostly clear skies. This will result in
temperatures plummeting into the 20s and 30s Friday night with
widespread frost conditions likely and possible freeze conditions
for portions of the area. The upper trough will continue to move
eastward on Saturday with a surface high present from Minnesota to
Texas. Winds on Saturday will generally be out of the southwest with
mostly sunny skies. High temperatures on Saturday are expected to
mostly be in the 60s. Temperatures Saturday night will warm up
slightly from the previous night with lows mostly in the 30s.

Sunday through Tuesday...

A warming trend is expected on Sunday as the upper trough moves
further east. High temperatures on Sunday are expected to mostly be
in the 70s.  Even warmer temperatures are expected by Tuesday with
highs on Tuesday in the mid 70s to mid 80s.



&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Friday)
Issued at 644 PM CDT Wed Oct 4 2023

VFR conditions likely through the period. Main concern will be
changing and increasing winds late tonight into Thursday AM with
the passage of a cold front. Expect a period of lgt and vrbl wind
through around midnight, before bec primarily SSW to WSW 5-10kt
thru around dawn. Winds will continue to veer to NW by mid-morning
and incr behind the front. Gusts around 25-30kt expected late
morning thru aftn before decr Thu eve. Patches of mid level clds
8-12K ft will pass thru late tonight into Thu AM. Confidence: High.


&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Thies