752
FXUS66 KHNX 090845
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
1245 AM PST Sun Nov 9 2025


.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Patchy fog developing each night until the arrival of the
next storm.

2. Dry conditions with a warming trend in temperatures through
Monday. Cooling afterward with seasonal conditions by Thursday.

3. The next storm arrives on Wednesday with significant
precipitation amounts on Thursday and Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A ridge of high pressure now sits over California as the region
goes into its warming trend in temperatures, sunny skies and
increasing chances of morning fog. Therefore, will see little
change in the overall pattern through at least the middle of
this week. Will still expect the warming trend to peak on Monday
as highs across the San Joaquin Valley reach the 80 degree
mark. While much of the area will reach around the 80 degree
mark, areas south of Fresno still showing the best Probability
of Exceedance (PoE) of reaching 80 degrees on Sunday and Monday.
Cooling begin on Tuesday with highs across the San Joaquin
Valley struggling to reach 65 degrees by Friday.

Ensemble moisture analysis continues to show a change to wet
weather starting on Wednesday(Nov 12th) afternoon with the bulk
of the storm expected by Thursday Morning. Probability of
Precipitation (PoP) of receiving a tenth of an inch in 6 hours
starts out below 10 percent on Wednesday and increases to around
60 percent by Thursday morning. PoP reaches 80 to almost 90
percent Thursday afternoon with PoP of exceeding a half inch of
water in the 40 to 60 percent range during the same time frame
of Thursday. While ensemble moisture analysis is showing some
uncertainty of the magnitude and strike zone of a weak to
moderate Atmospheric River, models do suggest that Central
California will receive a significant portion of that moisture.
Snow levels show less ensemble model uncertainty as confidence
is high that snow levels will start above 8000 feet at the start
of the storm and drop to around 6000 feet by early Friday
Morning. While snow levels and overall temperatures see a marked
decrease, precipitation from the Atmospheric River will see a
decreasing trend as amounts taper-off. Ensemble show linger
showers extending into Saturday with conditions drying out on
Sunday as a ridge of high pressure returns to the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
Areas of MVFR to IFR conditions will exist this morning until
18Z. A few patches of LIFR conditions will also exist between
11Z and 18Z this morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions will
prevail for the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
On Sunday November 9, 2025, No Burning Unless Registered in
Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, and Tulare Counties, and Kern
(Greater Frazier Park Area). Burning Discouraged in Merced
County, and Sequoia National Park and Forest.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM PST this morning for CAZ301>303-
305-306-311-312.

&&

$$

Public/Aviation....Molina

weather.gov/hanford