366
FXUS64 KHUN 100545
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1145 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1008 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

 - A Freeze Warning is in effect late this evening through Monday
   morning for all of north Alabama.

 - Near record or record cold temperatures are forecast tonight
   into Monday morning and again Monday night into early Tuesday.

 - Wind chill values will drop into the teens to lower 20s tonight and
   Tuesday morning.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of tonight and Monday)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Some light sleet has been reported across portions of the
Tennessee Valley this evening as high pressure and strong
northwesterly winds continue to advect a much colder airmass into
the area behind the cold front that moved through earlier today.
The main impacts through the near term period will be the
dangerously cold wind chills dropping into the teens overnight
with wind gusts between 20-30mph and lows in the mid to upper 20s.
Please wear insulated layered clothing when headed outdoors
especially during morning commute hours.

Winds will increase even more tomorrow and could gust to 30-35mph
at times, especially in higher terrain. Ensemble guidance
continues to show very low probabilities that these winds will
meet or exceed wind advisory criteria of 35mph+ gusts across the
area, so we will continue to hold off on a Wind Advisory. Highs
tomorrow will struggle to reach above the 40 degree mark with
periods of clouds especially across central and eastern portions
of the forecast area. There is a very low chance of seeing a few
flurries in the higher terrain of northeast AL/southern middle TN
but believe the air will likely be too dry to include in the
official forecast at this time.

Be sure to wear multiple layers if spending time outdoors at any
point over the next 36-48 hours and protect people, pets, pipes,
and plants!

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

The coldest temperatures since late February will arrive Monday
night and as winds finally begin to subside, the risk for a hard
freeze increases. Lows will fall to the upper teens/lower 20s in
what could be record breaking cold for early/mid November. Please
remember to bundle up as well as drip faucets/cover pipes. Upper
ridging will begin to nudge east from the central Plains on
Tuesday and will begin a subtle warming trend as we head through
the mid-week period. With high pressure anchored to our south, we
will remain in a dry airmass and therefore no rain is forecast
through Wednesday. Highs will climb into the 50s on Tuesday then
warm into the 60s on Wednesday, so good news for those dreading
the cold this early in the season.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

On Thursday, a trough will still be over the far Northeast and
Quebec while a ridge will be over the Rockies as a trough swings into
the West Coast. Closer to home, a cold front associated with a
clipper system in the Great Lakes will slip down into the TN Valley.
This will not bring much of a chance in temp, nor any precip, but we
will see that northerly wind shift. Daytime highs are expected to
reach the mid to upper 60s on Thursday. Temperatures will climb even
higher Friday and Saturday, into the lower 70s, as the ridge axis
reaches the OH and TN Valleys by Saturday. Our next chance of rain
could return as early as late Saturday night into Sunday as that
previously mentioned trough out west now digs into the Plains and
Midwest.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1144 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Gusty NW winds between 20-25 kts will continue overnight and into
the day on Monday in wake of a strong low pressure system. BKN
decks of low-end VFR cloud cover at KHSV will quickly dissipate by
early Monday morning, with VFR conditions remaining through the
remainder of the period.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 919 PM CST Sat Nov 8 2025

Record cold temperatures are possible on the 10th through the
11th.

November 10:

Huntsville - Low maximum - 43 (1950) Low minimum 20 (1913)
Muscle Shoals - Low maximum - 43 (1950) Low minimum 24 (1933)

November 11:

Huntsville - Low maximum - 38 (1968) Low minimum 22 (1926)
Muscle Shoals - Low maximum - 39 (1894) Low minimum 19 (1913)

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Freeze Warning until 10 AM CST Monday for ALZ001>010-016.

TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....25
LONG TERM....AMP.24
AVIATION...25