Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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735 FXUS63 KICT 101136 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 536 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cool again today with a warming trend starting on Tuesday, persisting through the week. - Dry conditions will persist through the work week with rain chances increasing over the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 307 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025 A ridge of high pressure at the surface was sprawling over Kansas early this morning. Under the ridge we have calm winds, clear conditions and very dry air allowing for excellent radiational cooling. Early morning temperatures were already in the teens and 20s. Below average temperatures will persist today as the area of high pressure translates slowly southeastward away from the area. This will allow southerly flow to return from west to east late today and tonight. A trough of low pressure will bring southwest low level flow to the area on Tue allowing temperatures to quickly moderate. Wed-Fri...a mid/upper ridge is progged to amplify and move eastward over the central CONUS. Tranquil weather will overspread the region with mild and above average temperatures through the week. An increasing pressure gradient late in the week will allow breezy southerly winds to return. A shortwave trough is progged to move over the Southern Plains this weekend bringing increasing chances for precipitation to the area. We continue to see some differences in where this feature will track leading to low confidence at this time, but another cold front should impact the area Sat night and showers and storms are expected to accompany the frontal boundary, possibly lingering into Sunday across southeast KS. The front will usher in more seasonable air for the area on Sunday with highs in the 50s. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 535 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025 A ridge of high pressure will result in light winds and mostly sunny conditions today. As the ridge axis moves east, southerly flow will return from west to east becoming breezy tonight. A developing LLJ will bring some LLWS to south central and southeast KS after midnight before diminishing around 11-12Z on Tue morning. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...MWM AVIATION...MWM