Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
131 FXUS61 KILN 280619 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 219 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No major changes. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Thunderstorms chances end Cooler and drier weather follows a cold frontal passage today. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1) Northwest flow aloft with an embedded disturbance dropping from the Great Lakes thru the Ohio Valley. Associated surface cold front to sweep south thru the region this morning. Moderate instability ahead of this front is supporting the development of clusters of thunderstorms. These storms may produce isolated strong wind gusts and small hail. As the night progresses these storms will become more elevated and the threat for severe weather decreases. A cold front will sweep southeast through our local area this morning and winds will shift to the northwesterly winds and low clouds scattered out this afternoon. Temperatures look to be closer to normal today with highs generally in the lower and middle 80s. High pressure will offer cooler and drier conditions thru most of the week. Temperatures will be a bit below normal through at least Thursday and potentially into Friday. && .AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Shower and thunderstorms will continue to develop in the moderately unstable airmass ahead of a cold front this morning. These storms may produce isolated strong wind gusts and small hail early but as the night progresses the instability will become more elevated and the threat for strong winds will continue to decrease. The best coverage of storms will occur across KCMH and KLCK. A period of MVFR to IFR clouds will affect the terminals along and behind the cold front thru at least mid morning. Ceilings will improve and clouds scatter out with VFR conditions this afternoon into tonight. Southwest winds around 10 kts shift to the northwest at 10-15 kts this morning with gusts of 20-25kts during the day before decreasing early this evening. OUTLOOK...Significant weather is not expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AR AVIATION...AR