723
FXUS64 KJAN 110224
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
924 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail
   through this weekend.

&&

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 921 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

A mostly clear night is underway across the forecast area, and
all is generally on track for this near term forecast update. Have
lowered overnight lows just a bit based on recent cooler obs/
guidance trends. /EC/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

High pressure ridging and light northerly flow will continue
tonight and Saturday, under mainly clear skies. Cool temperatures
will continue tonight with lows mainly in the mid 50s. Expect
slightly warmer highs on Saturday, climbing into the low to mid
80s. /15/

Saturday night through Thursday...

The building upper ridge combined with drier air advecting across
the southeast CONUS will allow for dry and quiet conditions to
persist across our CWA through the weekend.

Regarding the concerns for fire wx, RHs will drop to around 35-40%
across much of our forecast area Saturday and Sunday which could
cause some low-end fire weather concerns. RHs values will continue
to be monitored as we get through the weekend.

Heading into the new work week, the upper ridge axis will shift
slightly eastward. This will help maintain the sfc high pressure
system across the Deep South. Because of this, dry conditions will
continue across our CWA. Temperatures will begin to trend upward
looking ahead into the mid week as global guidance still shows
surface trajectories taking on a more southerly component. Dry and
quiet conditions will continue heading into Friday. /CR/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

VFR conditions and light northeast surface wind will prevail
through the forecast period. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       82  54  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      81  51  82  53 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     82  54  84  56 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   84  55  84  55 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       83  56  84  55 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    80  57  83  56 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     82  54  84  53 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

EC/15/CR/