550
FXUS62 KJAX 111725
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1225 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Freeze Warnings & Frost Advisories Tonight & Early Wed Morning.Freeze
  Warnings: All Inland Locations, with Widespread Frost Forecast.
  Frost Advisories: Portions of Coastal Northeast FL

- Small Craft Advisories Coastal Waters through this afternoon

- Elevated Fire Danger Inland Today Due to Low Humidity Values

&&

.NEAR TERM...
Issued at 1219 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

High pressure will build overhead through Tonight. Skies will remain
clear. With the building high, winds will decrease this afternoon,
and become largely calm Tonight. With the cold airmass in place,
the calm winds and clear skies will result in another chilly
night. Below freezing temperatures are forecast for inland areas,
and with winds becoming calm frost will be widespread. For areas
east of the St Johns River, lows will likely not reach Freezing,
but still cold enough for Frost.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 1219 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

A warming trend ensues with continued dry weather as surface high
pressure centers across north FL Wednesday then shifts across the
NE Gulf into Thursday as a back door `cool` front approaches from
the north into Thursday evening. Wednesday, winds will be much
weaker compared to recent days with sunny skies prevailing under
near zonal flow as max temperatures warm some 10-15 degrees higher
than today with highs in the mid/upper 60s. Another cool night Wed
night with inland lows in the upper 30s to low 40s to mid/upper
40s coast (leaned toward the cooler side of NBM guidance given
continued cool, dry airmass and weak surface winds). Thursday,
some pre-frontal clouds but still dry with temperatures warming
into the low 70s ahead of the front. The front presses south of
the local area Thu night trailed by NNE winds as high pressure
builds north of the region. Despite a frontal passage, elevated
NNE winds will keep coastal locations more mild with lows near 50
by daybreak Fri morning with inland lows in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1219 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

Dry weather prevails with freezes/frost not expected as high
pressure across the southeast seaboard Friday shifts across south
Florida later into the weekend with surface fronts remaining north
of the local area. Lingering dry low level air will continue
chilly inland lows in the 40s/50s coast with warming daytime highs
in the 70s to low 80s by early next week. Expect increasing fog
potential into the weekend as shallow low level moisture advection
develops each day with the sea breezes.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

Prevailing VFR conditions to persist this period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1219 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

High pressure will be overhead Tonight into Wednesday. A weak cold
front will pass by to the north Wednesday afternoon through
Wednesday night. High pressure will build overhead from the west
Thursday. High pressure will then prevail through Saturday. The high
will build more toward the south Sunday as a cold front passes to
the north.

Rip Currents: SE GA Low through Wednesday
              NE FL Moderate Today, Low Wednesday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  31  67  40  72 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  40  67  47  71 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  33  69  41  74 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  39  68  46  72 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  32  69  40  76 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  33  68  40  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EST Wednesday for
     FLZ021-023-024-030-031-035-120-124-132-136-137-140-220-225-
     232-236-237-240-322-340-422-425-522.

     Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for FLZ038-125-
     138-233-325-333-433-533-633.

GA...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EST Wednesday for
     GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ452-
     472.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for AMZ454-474.

&&

$$