Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
749 FXUS62 KKEY 061511 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1111 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1111 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025 Another warm and humid mid-morning is ongoing for the Florida Keys. GOES-19 Satellite shows partly to mostly sunny skies and with temperatures in the mid 80s coupled with dewpoints in the upper 70s, it is kind of swampy out there. A few isolated showers are being detected on KBYX but the coverage and strength has deteriorated in these cells since earlier this morning. Surface winds are light and variable, generally northeast to east indicating we are in a weak synoptic flow pattern at the moment. Aloft, a broad area of weak ridging remains centered over the Gulf, while a shallow trough and low level vorticity axis lingers to the east across the Bahamas. While showers are currently limited, ample moisture continues to funnel into the area off of a stationary boundary just north of the Keys. For the rest of the day, showers will continue to linger around with different boundary interactions, but significant rainfall is not expected at this time. No changes were necessary to this update package. && .MARINE... Issued at 1111 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025 No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect for the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, a combination of a stationary frontal boundary and a weak area of low pressure still situated near the Bahamas will make for a messy weather pattern through the next several days. This will maintain above normal rain chances through the entire forecast period. In addition, it will keeps winds fluctuating between northeast and southeast at times. At this time, the strongest breezes look to stay north of our waters but will be watching for updates. && .AVIATION... (15Z TAFS) Issued at 1111 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period. Limited shower development will leave mention of VCSH out of the TAF for the time being. Near surface winds will be variable at near 5 knots, becoming north to northeast. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT Tuesday for FLZ076>078. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...AP Aviation/Nowcasts....AP Data Acquisition.....AP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest