Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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832
FXUS62 KKEY 310242
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1042 PM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 926 PM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

Very early season troughing has dug into the eastern United
States, with lower level troughing reaching down into the Florida
Peninsula. This has setup a broad zone of very moist and
confluent flow across our area. This contributed to a considerable
amount of shower and thunderstorm activity across the Keys and
surrounding waters, persisting through the late afternoon and
evening. The synoptic flow has not been very strong, being light
to gentle and broadly out of the west, when not contaminated by
convection.

No significant change to the local weather pattern is expected as
the mid latitude trough to our north is not expected to go
anywhere any time soon. While a down period appears to finally be
forming, the overall pattern will remain supportive of at least
scattered showers and thunderstorms. Given the expectation of a
down spell, will maintain currently advertised PoPs. Aside from
rain cooling, overnight lows will be broadly in the lower 80s with
dew points in the mid 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 926 PM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

A wet pattern continues across Keys waters this evening. This is
due to a very moist atmosphere within broadly confluent lower
levels across our area. The surface flow has been fairly
nebulous, tending light out of the southwest to west. No
significant changes expected in the overall make up of our weather
pattern. While a down period appears to finally be taking shape
after the copious convection this evening, the overall pattern
will remain supportive of at least scattered showers and
thunderstorms once the environment can recover. Essentially no
changes made in the evening marine update.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 926 PM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

A wet pattern remains across the broader area. As a result,
episodes of sub VFR conditions, along with locally gusty winds
will be possible. Away from convection, winds will be light and
loosely out of the west.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...11
Aviation/Nowcasts....11
Data Acquisition.....MC

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