704
FXUS64 KLUB 091706
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1206 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

 - Hot and dry weather continues through the next several days.

 - A few thunderstorms are possible near the TX/NM state line
   during the second half of the week, but most areas will remain
   dry.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Very little change in the large scale upper air pattern will result
in a continuation of hot and dry weather as we kick off a new week.
A mid/upper level ridge axis centered over the Four Corners and
extending eastward over the southern plains states remains firmly in
place, with associated subsidence resulting in continued clear skies
and dry weather over West TX into Monday. High temperatures will
continue to peak at values about 5-10 degrees above normal, but will
top out just below 105 and remain quite a bit below record levels.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Dry weather and above normal temperatures continue during the early
week period with highs inching a bit higher Tue-Wed as ridging aloft
shifts eastward. During the second half of the week, flow aloft over
our area is progged to turn southwesterly and increase slightly
during the second half of the week as the ridge centers over the
lower MS valley and broad troughing attempts to deepen off the CA
coast. Temperatures will therefore come down a bit compared to
earlier in the week, but will still likely remain just above
seasonal normals. A modest plume of monsoonal moisture will also
make a closer approach to the region thanks to the eastward shift of
the ridge, but will remain confined mostly to our west. Isolated to
scattered afternoon/evening storms over eastern NM may extend into
far western portions of the South Plains and SW TX Panhandle each
day Thu-Sat, but only a weak westerly component to the flow aloft
will tend to limit any further eastward expansion of storm activity.
As a result, most locations away from the TX/NM state line are
currently expected to remain dry through next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2026

VFR conditions will prevail. Check density altitude.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...51