Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 221110
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
610 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 608 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

 - Hot temperatures will not let up through next week.

 - Isolated thunderstorms possible Saturday afternoon and evening
   area wide with a marginal risk of severe storms.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

A strong upper ridge will continue to persist across the area. Mild
overnight lows in the 70s remain expected. Subtle height rises will
allow for temperatures to increase even further Saturday and the
Heat Advisory has been expected to include Lubbock. A weak shortwave
will move over the area by evening. Best chances look to be
generally east of I-27 where greatest forcing will occur, however a
stray storm could occur anywhere. Again, brief locally strong gusts
and downpours would be the main concern. These should taper off by
late-evening with another quiet and mild evening thereafter.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

The aforementioned upper ridge will essentially stall in place for
the next several days and very little change to the forecast is
expected. Heat Advisory conditions look to continue the weekend
along and east of I-27 and well into next week for areas off the
Caprock. Storm chances should remain minimal, but may return by
mid-to-late next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 608 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Light winds will continue through the TAF period. However,
isolated storms may develop this afternoon, first near KCDS then
late in the afternoon near KLBB and KPVW. Coverage is expected to
be low so no mention was made in the TAF at the moment. If any
storm were to affect a terminal, winds would briefly become
variable and gusty.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for
TXZ024>026-030>032-035>038-041>044.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...01