495
FXUS64 KLZK 130443
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1043 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 325 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

-Dry and warming conditions will persist through the end of the
week.

-Above-normal temperatures expected, as area readings moderate back
to the mid 70s by Friday.

-Some areas will approach record values within a few degrees on
Saturday with highs near 80 degrees.

-Rain chances return to the forecast area by the end of the weekend
and into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 325 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

Calm and chilly conditions were noted acrs the FA as recent night
time sat imgry depicted mostly clear skies, and sfc obs indicated
temps in the mid 50s to low 50s acrs the state. The warming trend is
expected to continue thru the remainder of the week as low-lvl Srly
flow prevails and Cntrl US H500 ridging builds, w/ high temps
moderating towards the low 70s.

By Sat, current base-blended guidance suggests high temps in the
upper 70s to low 80s acrs AR. Some locations would be nearing record
daily high values to a few degrees.

In the long term, dProg/dt`s for upper level flow are still somewhat
variable, as aforementioned ridging is set to weaken, allowing for
Wrn US troughing to deepen. The time line on the return of rain
chances remains lagged, w/ more widespread and higher magnitude PoPs
more lkly by early next week, and as early as Sun night. Given the
fcst higher humidity/dewpoints by the weekend, some thunderstorms
may be possible w/ returning rain chances as well, but confidence
remains low and uncertain on hazardous weather potential near the
end of the fcst PD.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1042 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

The majority of the forecast period from early Thursday morning
through early Friday morning will remain in VFR flight category
across most sites. However, the exception will be the western and
southeastern sites of KHOT, KADF, KPBF, and KLLQ which may see
patchy, dense fog drop VSBY to MVFR flight category early on
Thursday morning. An intermittent degradation to IFR flight category
for VSBY briefly may be possible, but VSBY is forecast to remain in
MVFR flight category at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     73  43  72  54 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         75  49  76  55 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       74  44  72  54 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    72  47  76  55 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  72  47  74  57 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     73  52  76  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      78  47  77  56 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  73  42  71  53 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        71  44  72  55 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     73  48  76  56 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   73  45  76  55 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         72  42  73  52 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      70  48  74  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74