Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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993
FXUS64 KLZK 101729
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1129 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1132 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

 - Gusty NW winds will be seen behind a cold front as it moves
   across the state today.

 - Near to above normal temperatures will be seen through Friday
   along with dry conditions.

 - A strong cold front will usher in much colder temperatures from
   Saturday to Sunday.

 - Cold air will linger for a few days before increasing by
   Tue/Wed next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1132 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Sfc pressure gradient has continued to increase across the area as
a strong sfc cyclone moves east toward the Great Lakes while
ridging remains across the SE US. This has provided an increase in
SW winds across the state late Tuesday into the overnight hours.
As the sfc low continues to track to the east a trailing cold
front will move across Arkansas from NW to SE today. In its wake,
winds will switch out of the NW and will increase to 15-20 mph
with gusts around 30 mph. The strongest winds associated with this
are expected across the northern half of the state during the
morning hours Wednesday.

This front will provide little in the way of cold air Wednesday
but will help temperatures fall to near freezing Wednesday night.
The mid-level flow aloft will remain out of the NW through the
end of the work week, but low level flow will be out of the SW.
This will provide warmer temperatures Thu-Fri. Changes will take
place this weekend, as another cold front will usher in a much
colder airmass to the state. The cold air may not make it into the
state until Saturday night.

Behind the front, sfc ridging will overspread the state by Sunday and
linger through Monday. But, this round of cold air isn`t expected
to stick around very long as sfc ridging shifts east and the H500
NW flow moves northeast away from the region. This will lead to
increasing temperatures through the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1122 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast cycle. Gusty
west to northwest winds will persist behind a dry cold front
through at least mid afternoon before gradually weakening the
rest of the afternoon. Strongest winds will be across northern
terminals with a few gust above 30 kts through mid afternoon
tempering down to 20-25 kts through the remainder of the afternoon
at northern terminal sites. LLWS expected to remain present
through the afternoon hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     32  53  41  60 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         31  57  39  64 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       31  57  43  54 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    33  55  40  64 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  34  55  41  62 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     34  56  43  65 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      33  58  42  65 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  30  55  40  56 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        33  52  40  60 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     32  56  40  63 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   33  59  39  64 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         31  53  37  62 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      33  53  40  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...76