223
FXUS64 KLZK 101731
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1231 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 103 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

-Isolated to scattered showers and a few storms will be possible
 across northern Arkansas through this afternoon.

-Saturday and through the remainder of the forecast period, dry and
settled weather is expected, with above normal temperatures
prevailing.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 103 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Outside of isolated rain and thunderstorm chances acrs Nrn AR this
aftn, a persistence-style fcst is on deck for the Natural State thru
the next 5-7 days as upper lvl ridging builds in over the Cntrl US.

Regarding rain chances this aftn, an embedded vort max is progged to
maneuver thru mean NWrly H500 flow, and may support development of a
cluster or even weak MCS acrs portions of MO, w/ precip possibly
reaching into Nrn AR later this aftn. Have included higher PoP
mentions, but QPF and covg of precip should remain on the low side.

Following today, a mean pattern of H500 ridging is expected to build
in acrs the Cntrl US, w/ asctd sfc high pressure residing over the
Ern half of the US. This should promote persistence condns, w/ above
normal temperatures and dry and settled weather condns prevailing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

VFR conds are expected this afternoon. VCSH/SHRA are possible over
Nrn sites as an upper level system passes across the region this
afternoon and evening. Winds today will be light at less than 10
kts. Lower CIGs are expected overnight at most terminals but
should remain VFR through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     57  83  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         55  83  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       58  82  57  83 /  10   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    58  85  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  60  82  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     57  84  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      57  85  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  57  83  57  84 /  10   0   0   0
Newport AR        59  82  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     57  83  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   60  86  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         57  84  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      58  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70