631
FXUS64 KLZK 111711
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1111 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1240 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

-Near to above normal conditions expected into Friday

-Strong cold front brings some of the coldest air seen so far this
season Saturday into Sunday...with warming conditions by the middle
of next week

-Wind chills will dip into the single digits and teens Sunday morning

-Lows in the teens and 20s Sunday and Monday mornings

-Mainly dry forecast through early next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1240 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

The cold front that brought the breezy NW winds to the state on Wed
has moved south of AR early this Thu morning...with SFC high
pressure moving south into the state. This SFC high will shift east
for this afternoon...with SRLY flow returning through Fri morning.
This will allow temps to rebound back to around and even above
normal today into Fri. A new front will push SE through the state by
Fri afternoon...with temps dropping back to around normal for Sat.
However...a much stronger cold front will surge south through the
state Sat night into Sun morning. This front will bring some of the
coldest air of the season so far to the region.

Breezy NRLY winds will usher in much colder air to the state for Sun
morning...with temps dipping into the teens and 20s by around
sunrise Sun. These temps combined with breezy NRLY winds will allow
for wind chill values to dip into the single digits and teens for
most areas. Wouldn`t be surprised to see a couple spots get near 0
for wind chills Sun morning. SFC high pressure will settle across
the region by Sun night into Mon morning...with winds relaxing. This
will allow for lows Mon morning to be in the teens for most
areas...with a couple spots potentially dropping into the single
digits for lows.

SRLY flow will return by Tue as upper level ridging moves over the
region. Highs will rebound back to around and even above normal by
the middle of next week. Chances for precipitation look very limited
through the next week. However...there could be some small chances
along the front Sat night across the far SERN sections of the
state...mainly before the coldest air arrives. Another small chance
for precip comes late in the forecast as a fast moving upper short
wave passes east over the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1109 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

Widepsread VFR conditions are expected through the period. Some
mid to high level clouds will be present and surface winds will
be out of the south and southwest.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     54  42  60  31 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         58  39  64  37 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       58  44  54  28 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    56  41  64  35 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  56  41  63  35 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     57  43  65  39 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      58  43  65  36 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  56  41  54  28 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        53  41  59  31 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     56  41  63  35 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   59  39  63  34 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         55  38  62  32 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      54  41  61  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...62
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...73