509
FXUS64 KMAF 270644
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
144 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 132 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

- A low to medium (15% to 35%) chance of isolated to scattered
  storms much of the region this evening through early tonight,
  with strong winds and localized flash flooding possible in
  strongest storms.

- Hot temperatures remain in place into next week. Limit time
  outside in the heat of the afternoon and drink plenty of water.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday afternoon)
Issued at 132 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

A complex of showers and storms continues to weaken across the
region this morning, but is producing some gusty outflow winds. Some
folks may get lucky enough to see rain this morning before
everything diminishes, mainly across the Permian Basin. Another
round of storms is possible this afternoon and evening across the
area as we remain in NW flow aloft and another disturbance arrives.
Gusty winds will remain the main threat given a dry subcloud layer
and very hot temperatures once again. Speaking of temperatures, look
for highs back into the upper 90s to near 100 across the board.

Upper ridging builds back over the area Friday into the weekend
helping to suppress rain changes and keep temperatures well above
normal into the upper 90s and 100s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 132 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

Next week the upper ridge will begin to move northeast of the
region, opening the door for a deeper easterly flow. This could help
bring temperatures down a few degrees closer to normal. Lowering
heights will also help bring a chance for rain back (currently
<20%), especially in the mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

TS are moving southeast through SE NM and into the Permian Basin.
Expect strong, gusty outflow winds near 40 kts and brief
visibility restrictions due to BLDU/RA. Storms will weaken as they
move toward the I-20 corridor. VFR will return later this morning
with winds returning to the east and southeast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               99  72  99  74 /  20  10   0   0
Carlsbad                100  72  99  73 /  10  20   0   0
Dryden                  102  75 100  75 /  10   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            99  72  98  73 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           92  69  90  69 /  30  20  10   0
Hobbs                    98  69  96  70 /  20  40   0   0
Marfa                    93  63  91  62 /  20   0  20   0
Midland Intl Airport     98  73  97  74 /  20  10   0   0
Odessa                   98  74  97  75 /  20  10   0   0
Wink                    100  73  99  75 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29