016
FXUS64 KMAF 072305
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
505 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 504 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

- Warming trend through much of the extended before a front
  arrives late in the week.

- Precipitation chances remain near-zero through the forecast
  period.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 105 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

The next couple of days look rather pedestrian.  WV imagery this
afternoon shows the trough has cleared West Texas and Southeast New
Mexico, leaving dry, northwest flow aloft over the region.
Mesoanalysis shows the cold front has made it to the Big Bend Area,
but highs this afternoon still look to average a degree or two above
climatology.

Tonight, surface winds veer back around to light return flow. Mostly
clear skies will work in tandem w/these light winds to promote
efficient radiational cooling, but overnight minimums will remain a
degree or two above normal.

Monday, a warming trend begins as thicknesses increase, adding a
couple of degrees to today`s highs.

Monday night, radiational cooling kicks in again, but overnight lows
should be a degree or two above tonight`s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 105 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Temperatures continue an uptick Tuesday as highs warm into the upper
60s to mid 70s. An upper-level shortwave passing over the northern
Plains aid in the development of a lee trough on the Front Range.
This spurs breezy winds out of the west and southwest Tuesday
afternoon, especially in the Guadalupes/ Delawares. Lows Tuesday
night cool into the 40s. A cold front noses into our northern
counties Wednesday before becoming diffuse later in the day. Despite
the front, Wednesday`s highs top out in the 70s for most (80s near
the Rio Grande). Temperatures Wednesday night dip into the 40s and
50s while another shortwave passing over the Rockies begins to set
the stage for our next cold front. Ahead of this system, Thursday`s
highs look to be the warmest in the forecast, reaching into the 70s
and 80s. Conditions behind the front have trended downward for this
upcoming Friday and Saturday, with many reaching the 50s. However,
there continues to be a wide spread regarding Friday`s temperatures
within models due to frontal timing and strength. No rainfall is in
the forecast through the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 504 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

VFR conditions forecast throughout TAF period. Light northerly
winds at terminals veer back to southwest for terminals on SE NM
plains and Upper Trans Pecos 02Z-06Z, southerly for Stockton
Plateau 02Z- 06Z, and south/southeast for Permian Basin 14Z-19Z.
Highest winds up to 15 to 20 knots 17Z-22Z for terminals from Lea
County into Permian Basin, with calmest winds below 10 knots
throughout the period over Reeves County.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               32  65  35  70 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 32  66  33  71 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   38  65  37  71 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            37  69  38  74 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           35  58  37  60 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    32  63  33  68 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    27  63  29  66 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     35  63  36  68 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   35  63  36  68 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     32  65  31  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...94