571
FXUS64 KMAF 060637
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
137 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 133 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

- Above normal temperatures persist through next week, with rain
  chances slim-to-none outside of the Davis Mountains.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday afternoon)
Issued at 133 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Water vapor imagery shows the upper ridge of high pressure extending
from the southern California coast to far west Texas, with its axis
now centered near the Arizona/Mexico border. As a result, hot and
dry conditions persist, with afternoon highs today and tomorrow
being similar to yesterday`s. Highs range from the upper 90s to low
100s regionwide both days. Today, southeasterly upslope flow yields
a low (10-20%) chance of isolated convection in/near the Davis
Mountains. However, any showers and storms that develop will
struggle to maintain themselves under the weekly sheared environment.

Greening

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 133 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Above-normal temperatures and generally dry conditions persist
through the Long Term. West Texas and southeast New Mexico remain
under northeasterly flow aloft as the upper-level ridge meanders
over the Great Basin and Four Corners regions. In this pattern, high
temperatures stay consistently in the mid-to-upper 90s across the
region, with 100 degree temperatures confined mainly to the river
valleys. Lows in the mid 70s will also be commonplace (mid-to-upper
60s in usual cool spots). As far as rain chances go, most of the
area looks to remain dry through at least early next week. The
exception will be in and around the higher terrain, particularly the
Davis Mountains, where low (10-20%) shower and storm chances stick
around most days thanks largely to upslope flow.

Sprang

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

VFR conditions prevail at all terminals the next 24 hours. Breezy
southeasterly winds continue through this TAF period, with
occasional gusts up to around 20 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring              100  74 100  73 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                100  74 100  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   99  75  99  74 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            98  73  97  72 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           93  69  93  68 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    98  70  98  70 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    93  64  92  63 /  20  10   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     97  74  98  73 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   97  74  97  73 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     99  74  99  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...55