Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
017
FNUS54 KMEG 152131
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Minimum RH values (50-60%) will remain elevated as return flow
continues to bring in moisture. Gusty winds and dry soils could
lead to a minimal grass fire threat, but the elevated RH values
are sufficient to keep the overall concern low. A wet and
unsettled pattern begins on Monday, bringing daily chances for
showers and thunderstorms with wetting rain.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-161000-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20
Precip Type None None None Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 12 PM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 52 (-9) 66 (-12) 41 64
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+4) 28 (-33) 61 29
AM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 8 E 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 G17 NE 7 Lgt/Var SE 7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2600 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2900 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 5 SE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 4500 3000
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 59 58
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 7 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 15 SE 16
Dispersion Index 13 32 9 26
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-161000-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20
Precip Type None None None Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 12 PM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-5) 70 (-9) 45 67
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+6) 33 (-28) 60 31
AM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 6 E 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 5 G17 NE 6 Lgt/Var SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2600 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2800 2000
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 6 SE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 14 SE 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 5400 3600
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 63 62
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 7 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 15 SE 16
Dispersion Index 13 34 11 28
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 72 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 60. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-161000-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-10) 65 (-12) 38 63
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+8) 27 (-34) 65 26
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 6 E 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 G17 N 6 Lgt/Var SE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2600 2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3000 2400
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 6 SE 4
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 SE 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 5400 2800
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 57 56
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 6 SE 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 14 SE 12
Dispersion Index 16 30 8 19
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-161000-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-5) 68 (-10) 39 65
RH % (24h trend) 96 (+6) 29 (-30) 62 24
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 7 E 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 G18 N 6 Lgt/Var SE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2600 1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3000 2300
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 6 SE 4
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 SE 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 5400 2800
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 60 58
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 6 SE 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 14 SE 13
Dispersion Index 14 29 9 22
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum
RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-161000-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-2) 74 (-5) 45 69
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+10) 37 (-20) 63 29
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 5 E 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 G19 NE 6 NE 4 SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2800 1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3100 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 6 SE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 13 SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 5400 3000
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 66 63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 6 SE 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 12 SE 14
Dispersion Index 14 29 11 26
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-161000-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+1) 75 (-4) 42 68
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+4) 33 (-20) 61 24
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 5 E 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 6 G18 N 6 Lgt/Var SE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2800 2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3200 2400
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 6 SE 4
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 SE 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 6000 2800
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 66 60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 5 SE 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 12 SE 11
Dispersion Index 13 27 9 20
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$