Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
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513 FXUS62 KMFL 262304 AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 704 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 110 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 Another warm and sunny couple of days are on tap for the rest of the holiday weekend as ridging continues to build over the area. There will be chances for isolated showers, possibly a storm or two, each afternoon across southeast FL once the sea breezes start pushing inland. Surface winds will become generally light with the ridge over the area, which combined with the lack of cloud cover will result in temperatures hitting the mid 90s today, and mid-upper 90s on Monday afternoon across much of South FL. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 219 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 Much more active period as we head towards the middle and end of the week as the ridge retreats and several impulses pivot across the area around the base of a longwave trough moving across the eastern US. It`ll be closer to what we expect during the wet season with higher chances of showers and thunderstorms each day, especially along the sea-breezes during the afternoon and early evening hours. PWAT`s will be around 2 inches later in the week and forecast soundings continue to show deep moisture throughout the column. Most of the area will welcome whatever rainfall it can get, however with storm motions appearing to be fairly weak, will need to monitor the threat for some isolated urban flooding. Temperatures will remain above normal throughout the next week. Highs through Thursday will be in the low to mid 90s across the east and west coast metro, to mid and upper 90s over the interior. Low temps will be in the 70s, to around 80 close to the SE FL coast. Some minor relief is in store for next weekend as the flow becomes more E/NE, which will allow highs across the east coast metro to be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 641 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Winds will weaken and become light and variable overnight. An isolated shower or two tonight, with short-lived MVFR/IFR, is possible in the east metro. There is potential for scattered showers and thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon near the east coast TAF sites. SE winds return in the afternoon at eastern sites with westerly winds at KAPF. && .MARINE... Issued at 110 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 Moderate southerly winds continue today before veering to a SE flow on Monday and through the middle of the week. The Gulf waters may experience westerly onshore flow each afternoon with the sea breezes. Conditions may approach exercise criteria today and Monday with wind speeds around 15kts and possibly higher gusts. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day across the local waters. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 110 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024 Forecast highs are expected to reach the mid 90s each afternoon this holiday weekend. The records are as follows: 5/26 5/27 MIA: 94-1949 96-1902 FLL: 94-1924 94-1924 PBI: 93-2000 96-1928 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 79 92 80 93 / 10 30 30 50 West Kendall 76 94 77 94 / 10 30 20 50 Opa-Locka 79 95 79 94 / 10 30 30 50 Homestead 78 93 79 93 / 10 20 20 40 Fort Lauderdale 79 92 80 91 / 10 30 30 50 N Ft Lauderdale 79 93 79 93 / 10 30 30 50 Pembroke Pines 79 96 80 95 / 10 30 30 50 West Palm Beach 77 94 77 94 / 10 20 30 50 Boca Raton 77 94 78 93 / 10 30 30 50 Naples 77 92 78 93 / 0 10 20 30 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...ATV LONG TERM....CMF AVIATION...Simmons