677
FXUS62 KMFL 141712
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
112 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

...New AVIATION...


.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 100 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Latest analysis shows upper level high pressure remaining over the
region, with surface high pressure firmly entrenched in the western
Atlantic. Latest soundings show plenty of dry air aloft, with some
some shallow moisture available for showers and occasional
thunderstorms. Saharan dust will continue to filter into the region
this weekend which will help suppress convection chances, but won`t
eliminate it. Nocturnal showers will be present along the coasts
this morning and again overnight tonight into early Sunday morning.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into the early
evening and again on Sunday will favor inland and SW FL, with mostly
dry conditions over the east coast metro.

High temps this afternoon and again on Sunday will be in the upper
80s to lower 90s. Low temps tonight will range from around 70 over
inland SW FL to around 80 closer to the Atlantic coast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 100 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

The pattern next week will remain consistent with surface high
pressure remaining over the western Atlantic and upper level high
pressure remaining over the region. Saharan dust is expected to
dissipate early in the week however forecast soundings show upper
level dry air remaining in place through at least mid week.
Convection will be fairly typical under this pattern with overnight
and early morning coastal showers and afternoon and early evening
showers and storms favoring inland and SW FL each day.

Temps will remain several degrees above normal next week with highs
ranging from the upper 80s to low/mid 90s inland, and low temps in
the lower 70s inland and around 80 across the east coast metro near
the coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Although a few SHRA are still possible in the vicinity of the
Atlantic terminals through 00Z, most shower/ts activity is
expected closer to APF this afternoon and early evening with
possible periods of MVFR conditions. In general, no major impacts
or long-duration reductions in ceiling/visibility are
anticipated. SE/S winds prevail during the forecast period at
10-15 knots with a few higher gusts, except SW seabreeze at KAPF
through 00z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 100 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Moderate SE flow remains in place this weekend. Scattered showers
and storms are possible each day across the local waters which may
result in locally hazardous winds and seas. Outside of convection,
seas in the Atlantic 1-3 ft, and seas in the Gulf 2 ft or less.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 100 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Moderate SE flow will result in an elevated risk of rip currents
this weekend for the Atlantic beaches.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            79  89  80  90 /  20  40  20  30
West Kendall     76  91  76  90 /  20  40  20  40
Opa-Locka        79  91  80  92 /  20  40  20  30
Homestead        78  89  79  89 /  30  40  20  40
Fort Lauderdale  79  88  80  89 /  20  30  20  30
N Ft Lauderdale  79  89  79  90 /  20  30  20  30
Pembroke Pines   81  93  81  93 /  20  40  20  30
West Palm Beach  79  90  79  90 /  20  30  20  30
Boca Raton       79  91  79  90 /  20  30  20  30
Naples           75  90  75  90 /  40  70  30  60

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...17