


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
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114 FXUS62 KMFL 230600 AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 101 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Upper level ridge will continue to dominate the eastern US early this week, while surface high pressure will remain over the western Atlantic. The weak impulse that enhanced rainfall over the area yesterday has moved off to the west and a return to a more typical summertime pattern is in store for today and Tuesday. With a moderate easterly flow in place, morning scattered showers and storms along the coasts are expected this morning and then the focus for convection will shift to inland and SW FL this afternoon into early evening. High temps today will remain around seasonal norms in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Convection wanes tonight after sunset with just some isolated coastal showers expected overnight into Tuesday morning. Low temps will range from the lower 70s over inland SW FL to around 80 across the east coast metro. Similar conditions will be in place during the day Tuesday with afternoon and early evening convection favoring inland and SW FL. High temps will again be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 101 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Changes are finally starting to take shape for the end of the work week and into next weekend as the upper level ridge flattens out and a mid/upper level low impacts the region. This will result in rising rainfall chances each day Thursday through the weekend. Forecast soundings show much deeper moisture throughout the column and weak steering flows. While the focus for much of the convection will continue to favor inland and SW FL, if the east coast sea breeze fails to make a significant push inland, portions of the western metro may be susceptible to periods of heavy rain, which may result in an increased urban and poor drainage flooding threat, but it`s still early in the forecast period so this will have to be monitored throughout the week. As for temperatures, they will remain near climatological norms with highs each day in the upper 80s to lower 90s, and low temps ranging from the lower 70s inland SW FL to around 80 across the east coast metro. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Generally VFR through the mid morning hours, with moderate ESE flow prevailing. Wind speeds become stronger and gusty after 17Z, especially over the Atlantic terminals. Isolated coastal showers will continue this morning across the East Coast. Thunderstorms may affect most of the terminals after 17Z, then moving further inland after 20Z. && .MARINE... Issued at 101 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Moderate easterly flow is expected through mid week. Seas of 1-3 ft are expected in both the Gulf and the Atlantic waters. Scattered thunderstorms are possible each day which may lead to locally hazardous winds and seas. && .BEACHES... Issued at 101 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025 Strengthening easterly flow early this week will result in a high risk of rip currents for the Atlantic beaches through Tuesday. The flow weakens a bit on Wednesday however the rip risk will likely remain elevated. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 89 79 89 79 / 40 20 50 20 West Kendall 90 76 90 75 / 30 20 60 20 Opa-Locka 90 79 91 79 / 40 20 50 20 Homestead 88 78 89 78 / 40 30 50 30 Fort Lauderdale 88 79 88 79 / 40 30 60 30 N Ft Lauderdale 88 79 89 79 / 40 20 50 20 Pembroke Pines 93 81 93 81 / 40 20 50 20 West Palm Beach 89 78 89 79 / 40 20 50 20 Boca Raton 90 79 91 78 / 40 20 50 20 Naples 92 74 92 73 / 70 20 70 20 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...High Rip Current Risk from 8 AM EDT this morning through Tuesday evening for FLZ168-172-173. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...CMF LONG TERM....CMF AVIATION...17