Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
508
FXUS64 KMOB 142334
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
634 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 634 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
- A High risk of rip currents continues along the Northwest
Florida beaches through tonight with a Moderate Risk at the
Alabama beaches.
- Hotter conditions return Wednesday through the end of the
week, with afternoon heat indices climbing back into the
triple digits.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 634 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
The forecast remains in track as scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms along and north of Highway-84 dissipate through
midnight. /22
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
A weak surface low across northern Mississippi will continue to
drift northwest through midweek. Meanwhile, some drier air will
move into the area as an upper ridge expands westward into the
southeastern states. This will bring drier conditions to the area
through Friday. By the weekend into the early next week, the upper
ridge will weaken as a trough develops across the eastern states.
The weaker upper ridge combined with increased deep layer
moisture will bring scattered showers and storms back into the
area. After below normal temps the last two days, the heat will
come back in full force for the latter half of the week into the
weekend. Highs will warm back into the mid and upper 90s with heat
index values warming back into the 100 to 108 range.
At the beaches, a High Risk of rip currents continues along the
Northwest Florida beaches through tonight. A Moderate risk of rip
currents continues for the western Florida Panhandle beaches
through Friday. A Low Risk of rip currents is expected at Alabama
beaches Wednesday through Saturday. /13
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through Wednesday afternoon outside
of brief reductions in ceilings and visibilities in and around
evening showers and thunderstorms along and north of Highway-84.
Light westerly to southwesterly winds starting around mid-evening
will increase to 6-12 knots Wednesday morning with a few gusts up
to around 20 knots near the coast. /22
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. /13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 72 92 73 94 / 10 10 10 0
Pensacola 76 91 78 94 / 20 10 10 10
Destin 78 88 79 91 / 30 20 10 10
Evergreen 68 90 70 91 / 30 20 10 0
Waynesboro 70 89 71 93 / 40 10 20 0
Camden 69 86 70 88 / 30 20 20 10
Crestview 70 92 72 94 / 20 10 10 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT Wednesday for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$