Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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508
FXUS64 KMOB 142334
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
634 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 634 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

  - A High risk of rip currents continues along the Northwest
    Florida beaches through tonight with a Moderate Risk at the
    Alabama beaches.


  - Hotter conditions return Wednesday through the end of the
    week, with afternoon heat indices climbing back into the
    triple digits.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 634 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

The forecast remains in track as scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms along and north of Highway-84 dissipate through
midnight. /22

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

A weak surface low across northern Mississippi will continue to
drift northwest through midweek. Meanwhile, some drier air will
move into the area as an upper ridge expands westward into the
southeastern states. This will bring drier conditions to the area
through Friday. By the weekend into the early next week, the upper
ridge will weaken as a trough develops across the eastern states.
The weaker upper ridge combined with increased deep layer
moisture will bring scattered showers and storms back into the
area. After below normal temps the last two days, the heat will
come back in full force for the latter half of the week into the
weekend. Highs will warm back into the mid and upper 90s with heat
index values warming back into the 100 to 108 range.

At the beaches, a High Risk of rip currents continues along the
Northwest Florida beaches through tonight. A Moderate risk of rip
currents continues for the western Florida Panhandle beaches
through Friday. A Low Risk of rip currents is expected at Alabama
beaches Wednesday through Saturday. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through Wednesday afternoon outside
of brief reductions in ceilings and visibilities in and around
evening showers and thunderstorms along and north of Highway-84.
Light westerly to southwesterly winds starting around mid-evening
will increase to 6-12 knots Wednesday morning with a few gusts up
to around 20 knots near the coast. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  92  73  94 /  10  10  10   0
Pensacola   76  91  78  94 /  20  10  10  10
Destin      78  88  79  91 /  30  20  10  10
Evergreen   68  90  70  91 /  30  20  10   0
Waynesboro  70  89  71  93 /  40  10  20   0
Camden      69  86  70  88 /  30  20  20  10
Crestview   70  92  72  94 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT Wednesday for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$