689
FXUS64 KMOB 141122
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
522 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 519 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

 - Patchy fog continues to develop this morning and this trend
   will continue area-wide through the pre-dawn hours. Another
   round of patchy fog is possible late Friday night into the
   early morning on Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 108 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

Another mild overnight period is on tap with lows settling into the
mid to low 40s inland with low 50s closer to the coast. The forecast
remains on track with only a few tweaks to the afternoon dewpoints
for today. Patchy fog is looking likely in the pre-dawn hours given
that we have another round of light winds and clear skies.
Visibility has already fallen to near 1 mile in a few spots near the
coast as of 07z and this trend of lowering visibilities will
continue area-wide over the next several hours.

The forecast remains rain-free through Tuesday and potentially
Wednesday. Weak ridging aloft continues to nose into our area from
the west through early in the weekend before flattening out somewhat
as a system slides across the Great Lakes region. Flow aloft remains
relatively zonal Sunday through Tuesday. The pattern aloft becomes
more amplified by mid-week as a potent trough swings across the
western CONUS behind a series of shortwaves. Given all the feature
interactions aloft, there remains a bit of a spread in the guidance
with respect to the timing of when the trough lifts eastward. That
said, we are looking at increasing chances for showers and storms as
we later into the week (Friday and beyond).

Beach Forecast - Rip current risk remains LOW through mid week in
this pattern. The rip current MOS probabilities indicate that the
risk may briefly increase to near MODERATE levels by late Sunday
afternoon across the Florida panhandle beaches. 07/mb

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 519 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

Patchy fog has developed across portions of the area this morning,
bringing brief reductions in visibility to IFR or LIFR. Any fog
that has developed this morning will dissipate a little after
sunrise. VFR conditions will then become prevalent through the
remainder of the period, with patchy fog development once again
possible late Friday night. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 108 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

No impacts expected through early next week. Onshore flow may
approach advisory levels late in the week. 07/mb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      77  52  76  55 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   75  54  74  60 /   0   0   0   0
Destin      75  56  73  61 /   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   78  47  79  51 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  77  49  79  53 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      76  47  79  53 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   77  44  77  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$