446
FXUS64 KMOB 131139
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
639 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 635 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

 - Dry weather and near seasonal temperatures much of mid to late
   week trend well above normal by early next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 635 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Forecast remains on track; no updates needed. /96

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1133 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

Through Friday, a mean upper trough that has set up over the
Eastern Seaboard will bring dry northwesterly upper flow to the
forecast area into the weekend. A reinforcing front will move
across the area Thursday morning, bringing a drier and a bit
cooler airmass to the forecast area. With the drier air moving
over the area, have dropped dewpoints across the forecast area
for Thursday. The northerly low level flow over the Southeast
through Friday will keep temperatures at or below seasonal
norms, with high temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Low temperatures see a drop, with the drier and a bit cooler
airmass allowing for better overnight cooler and low
temperatures dropping into the upper 50s to low 60s over most
of the forecast area Wednesday night dropping into the low 50s
well inland, mid to upper 50s closer to the coast.

Saturday through Tuesday, shortwave energy digging south over the
western Conus shifts and upper ridge over the Plains westward to
over the eastern Conus, with temperatures rising back into the upper
80s to around 90 in the coming week.

Taking a look at the Rip Current risk on area beaches, general
northerly flow will keep any swell on area beaches low, with a Low
Risk of Rip Currents expected through the weekend.
/16

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

IFR ceilings are currently in place west of the Tombigbee River
and along coastal counties. Over the next couple hours, these
ceilings should scatter out and dissipate, allowing for VFR
conditions to return for the remainder of the period.
Northeasterly winds of around 5-10 knots will turn more northerly
to northwesterly by the afternoon hours. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 244 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Moderate to occasionally strong northeasterly flow will subside
throughout the day today, becoming a light to occasionally moderate
northerly to northwesterly flow tonight. Small craft should
exercise caution over our Gulf waters through the remainder of
the morning. Winds gradually turn more easterly Thursday night and
eventually southeasterly by Friday and into the upcoming weekend.
/96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      84  62  83  58 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   83  66  83  61 /   0   0   0   0
Destin      82  67  82  62 /   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   83  58  81  50 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  84  58  81  54 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      81  58  78  52 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   84  59  83  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$