


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
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156 FXUS63 KOAX 180442 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 1142 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - A cold front early this afternoon brought a band of showers and thunderstorms and slightly cooler temperatures through the region. - Breezy during Saturday afternoon and evening behind a reinforcing cold front. A low chance of showers is possible with this system. Patchy frost is possible in northeast Nebraska by Sunday morning. - Winds increase again on Monday with another shot of cold air arriving early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 307 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 A cold front has swung through the region early this afternoon as a system lifts north into Canada. This front caused a band of showers and thunderstorms to develop, but this fast moving band offered scant precipitation amounts as it moved through our region. The remainder of the afternoon is expected to be dry with slightly cooler temperatures behind the front, though still in the 70s. A reinforcing cold front arrives during Saturday afternoon. This second front is aided by a secondary system lifting northward from the southern High Plains. Gusty winds are expected with this front along with a low chance of showers, mainly north of I-80. This second cold front brings another shot of cold air with it, keeping many in the 60s. This translates into a chilly morning on Sunday with a least patchy frost possible for areas of northeast Nebraska that dip well into the 30s. Sunday sees a chilly morning become a cool afternoon in the 60s to close out the weekend. Heading into the work week, a somewhat active pattern continues. Another cold front pushes through the area during Monday afternoon. Another round of gusty winds and shot of cold air is expected behind this front. Temperatures will remain in the 60s into the middle of the week as a result of this system, though limited moisture keeps us dry also. Frost may again be on the table by Wednesday morning behind this early week front. Through the end of the week, largely dry conditions and cooler temperatures in the 60s appear likely as yet another front reinforces this weather pattern by late week. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1139 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Expect VFR conditions through the forecast period. Light and variable winds this evening will become northwesterly around 14-16Z as a cold front moves through the region. Expect sustained winds to increase to around 15-20kts following the frontal passage. Ceilings are expected to lower as the front moves through, though they are expected to remain at VFR conditions. KOFK may have a few showers move through between 18-20Z and OMA between 20-21Z. The shower activity is currently expected to stay north of KLNK. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Chehak AVIATION...ANW