621
FXUS64 KOHX 031715
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1115 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1115 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

- Areas of fog will likely develop again overnight, but confidence
  in widespread dense fog is not high.

- Dry through Thursday. Gradual warmup with above normal
  temperatures by Wednesday.

- Next chance of rain/storms Friday afternoon/evening. Severe
  storms not expected

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1030 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

It`s been a foggy morning for many across Middle Tennessee. The last
areas of fog and low stratus are mixing out with blue skies for all
of the area this afternoon. High pressure is centered to our
southwest and that will slowly drift eastward through tomorrow.
Models are hinting at more areas of fog overnight although
confidence in widespread dense fog is not as high. Lows overnight
will be in the mid to upper 30s with some patchy frost possible.
However, any fog that develops could limit the frost. Temperatures
will begin to warm on Tuesday as we pick up a weak southerly
component to the low level winds. With the southerly flow,
temperatures will not drop as much Tuesday night with lows in the
40s instead of the 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 1030 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

Wednesday looks like the nicest day of the week with plenty of
sunshine and highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. A dry front will
push into the area Wednesday night as surface high pressure slides
across the Midwest knocking temperatures down 4 or 5 degrees for
Thursday. Our next rain chance looks to be Friday as a surface low
deepens across the southern Canadian provinces dragging a cold front
with more moisture across the area on Friday. QPF with this system
doesn`t look overwhelming with amounts generally less than 0.5"
expected. Models have very limited instability on Friday, so
severe weather is not expected. Saturday looks dry for now, but
another system will be on the heels of the Friday system and will
move through Saturday night into Sunday. There are some questions
how much moisture will be available with the Sunday trough and
front.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1115 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

VFR conditions for the TAF period now that FG has cleared out.
Conditions will continue to be VFR, with winds dropping to light
and variable by this evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      63  40  69  48 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    63  38  69  48 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     55  35  64  43 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       63  38  69  45 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     56  36  65  46 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      55  35  64  46 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   61  38  69  44 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   61  37  69  45 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        61  40  67  47 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Holley