848
FXUS64 KOHX 100432
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1032 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1026 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

- Look for warmer temperatures and breezy conditions on
  Wednesday.

- There are low to medium rain chances (20-50%) tomorrow mainly
  across portions of northern Middle Tennessee as a cold front
  sweeps through the mid state.

- Another cold front will impact the region this weekend, with low
  precipitation chances Saturday night. The coldest air of the
  season is expected Sunday night, with widespread lows in the
  teens.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday Night)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Surface and low-level winds are increasing in advance of a strong
cold front that looks to sweep across Middle Tennessee tomorrow.
Temperatures on Wednesday will be quite pleasant in spite of the
breezy conditions, but colder air will soon return to the mid
state. The deepest moisture associated with the cold front will
remain to our north. There are low to medium rain chances across
portions of northern Middle Tennessee tomorrow as a result of the
cold front, but QPF values are anemic. There is a very low chance
of light wintry weather affecting portions of the Upper Plateau
late tomorrow, but, again, any significant impacts will likely
remain outside of the OHX county warning area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Friday should turn out to be somewhat pleasant temperature-wise,
although another cold front will rotate through the mid state
during the afternoon, so the warmth will be short-lived; indeed,
the weekend weather is going to be frigid as an Arctic air mass
settles into the region. Although Friday`s fropa should come
through dry, we do expect low precipitation chances Saturday night
as an upper trough swings through the area. Some of the
precipitation may be frozen, but QPF values are below 0.15" most
locations, so there aren`t currently any concerns except for
frigid conditions on Sunday (highs mainly in the 30s) and Sunday
night (lows mainly in the teens). Next week, look for better rain
chances as temperatures warm up nicely.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1026 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Look for surface winds to increase overnight, and also the 06Z
TAFs reflect the development of LLWS, as near-surface winds have
also enhanced in the pre-frontal environment. A cold front will
sweep through Middle Tennessee on Wednesday, although it is
unlikely that precipitation will affect any of the terminals.
Expect winds to shift to the NW during the afternoon as a result
of the fropa, then start to diminish after sunset tomorrow
evening. TAFs are VFR, although it is possible that MVFR ceilings
will develop tomorrow evening along the Cumberland Plateau.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      40  55  29  43 /   0  10   0   0
Clarksville    39  51  27  41 /  10  10   0   0
Crossville     33  48  24  36 /   0  20  10   0
Columbia       37  54  26  44 /   0  10   0   0
Cookeville     36  49  27  37 /   0  30  10   0
Jamestown      35  47  25  35 /   0  40  10   0
Lawrenceburg   37  54  26  44 /   0  10   0   0
Murfreesboro   38  54  27  42 /   0  10   0   0
Waverly        38  52  26  42 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Rose