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FXUS64 KOHX 071718
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1118 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1114 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

- Low chances for light rain Sunday night. A few snowflakes
  possible late night as a cold front passes. No accumulations
  expected.

- Next rain chance Wednesday night through Friday, possibly ending
  with some light snow showers.

- Up and down temperatures this week. An Arctic blast arriving
  late week with frigid temperatures next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1035 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Stratus once again is making today another overcast day. I`m not
sure we will be in the 50s for highs today with all the cloud cover
if it persists. Some locations on the plateau have had sunshine
until very recently, which makes me think that some spots that have
seen more sun before the clouds came in could reach the low 50s
today. The rest of us will remain in the 40s. Some rain chances will
begin to impact Middle Tennessee in the evening hours, as a cold
front moves in and pulls in just enough moisture to give us some
rain, but not much. QPF amounts look pretty dry, with guidance
suggesting probabilities for over a tenth of an inch of
precipitation are slim (<20%). Overnight into Monday morning, this
rain will changeover into flurries, but no accumulation is expected.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1035 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

After our dreary weekend, high pressure will build in through
Wednesday morning, driving temperatures into the 50s for highs. This
story changes mid-week, as a trough is expected to dig south and
bring more rain chances to Middle Tennessee. Precipitation amounts
with this system once again do not look like much in our area, with
better chances for a wetting rain in the eastern part of the state.
One notable thing is an arctic air mass from close to the arctic
circle will be behind another cold front that will move through at
the end of the week. We`re still refining exacts with how cold we
will get but it looks like this could be our first widespread run at
the teens for lows this season.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1114 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Morning fog has lifting to a IFR/LIFR cigs for all western
terminals. We will see this low cloud deck rise some as we head
through the afternoon but it will likely remain in MVFR. KCSV and
KSRB will be VFR this afternoon but low cigs return for all
terminals this evening and continue to lower overnight into IFR.
Low chance for a few light showers towards daybreak with the best
chances over the Plateau. Light southerly winds will turn
northerly this afternoon up to 5 knots. Winds will increase up to
10 knots overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      51  37  43  28 /  10  20  10   0
Clarksville    49  35  41  27 /  10  20   0   0
Crossville     50  35  40  23 /   0  30  10   0
Columbia       49  37  43  26 /   0  20   0   0
Cookeville     50  35  40  26 /   0  30  10   0
Jamestown      49  33  38  24 /   0  40  20   0
Lawrenceburg   49  37  43  26 /   0  20   0   0
Murfreesboro   49  38  43  26 /   0  20  10   0
Waverly        47  34  42  27 /  10  20   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Mueller