266
FXUS64 KOUN 120345
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1045 PM CDT Sun May 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 203 PM CDT Sun May 11 2025

 - Low chance for showers rest of this afternoon across southeast
   Oklahoma.

 - Dry with very warm temperatures this week before rain and
   storm chances return again towards the end of the week and into
   next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 203 PM CDT Sun May 11 2025

The nice spring day for many will continue for the rest of the
afternoon with temperatures in the 70s to low 80s. A few rain
showers have already affected far SE portions of the fa today.
Showers will remain possible through about sunset remaining in SE
parts of the fa.

Winds are expected to become light tonight. Temperatures will fall
into the upper 40s and 50s which will be around or just slightly
below average for this time of year.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 203 PM CDT Sun May 11 2025

The upper low that is over LA is expected to lift towards the NE
tonight into Monday. This will lead to weak ridging over the region
early this week as the next upper wave moves into the Pacific NW and
then across portions of the western U.S. With ridging over the area,
dry conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday. Sfc winds will also
begin shifting toward the south Monday as lee troughing develops.
Temperatures are expected to begin to warm early this week with
highs mostly in the 80s Monday and mid 80s to mid 90s on Tuesday
with warmer temperatures also expected at night (lows in 50s/ 60s).

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 146 AM CDT Sun May 11 2025

The back half of the work week and into the weekend will feature a
series of troughs with continued southwesterly flow aloft. The lee
troughing will be the strongest Wednesday with the passing low
across the Northern Plains. Thus, temperatures will be the warmest
Wednesday with widespread highs in the 90s. A shallow cold front
will bring temperatures slightly down for the end of the week and
into the weekend, but still maintaining above normal highs in the
80s to lower 90s. A warm nose aloft will limit any showers and
thunderstorm chances until the next shortwave approaches Friday.
Storm chances will then increase through the weekend with a
shortwave in the wake of the departing low in the north.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1045 PM CDT Sun May 11 2025

VFR conditions will continue at all terminals during the valid
period. Light-variable winds and passing high clouds will be
common prior to Monday afternoon and evening, when a more dominant
southerly flow component is forecast to develop across the
region.

Safe travels!

Ungar

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  55  80  59  83 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         52  81  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  53  82  59  92 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           49  82  54  89 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     53  81  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         56  80  60  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...09