929
FXUS65 KPUB 012056
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
256 PM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Very warm on Sunday, with near record highs for Colorado Springs
and Pueblo.

- Elevated fire weather conditions on Tuesday for the I-25 corridor,
and possibly more widespread on Thursday afternoon.

- A couple of snow showers possible Thursday afternoon and
  evening north of Cottonwood Pass.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 255 PM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025

High pressure will continue building in across the region tonight
and on Sunday, leading to warmer temperatures across the board.
Overnight lows for the plains will remain in the 30s, especially
closer to the mountains, though a few places further east may hover
near or just below freezing. Meanwhile, the San Luis Valley will
remain in the low-20s.

On Sunday, clear skies, light winds, and plenty of warmer incoming
air beneath the upper high will lead to drastic warming across SE
Colorado. The high valleys will be in the mid-high 60s, while the
eastern plains are expected to hit the high-70s to low-80s. Some
areas, including Colorado Springs and Pueblo, are expected to
approach or exceed record highs.

Colorado Springs is currently forecast to tie the record high from
1941 at 76, while Pueblo is forecast to just miss the record of
81 from 2008, with tomorrow`s high currently reading 80.


&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 246 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Only minor changes to the extended forecast, mainly on Thursday,
as the trough forecast to impact the area has trended a bit
further north with less wind and Central Mountain snow.

Sunday night through Wednesday...the main concern for the first
part of the extended period will be elevated fire weather
concerns on Tuesday. A weak upper shortwave will pass to the
north on Monday which will send a cold front back across the
Plains. Temperatures on Monday will reach into the lower to mid
60s across much of the region, with a few spots near Trinidad
pushing the lower 70s. Flow aloft becomes increasingly westerly
on Tuesday, which will promote mixing across the Plains.
Humidity values will fall to under 15 percent, and gap wind
prone areas along the I-25 corridor will see elevated fire
weather concerns Tuesday afternoon. Afternoon highs on Tuesday
will return to the mid to upper 70s across the Plains. Another
weak cold front arrives on Wednesday morning, with slightly
cooler air across the Plains, with highs in the upper 60s to
lower 70s. No precipitation is forecast at this time through
Wednesday.

Thursday...the main differences in the models occur on Thursday,
as a strong upper wave moves across Wyoming into the Central
Plains. The main change with this cycle, is a more northerly
track, with less and across the Plains, and less snow over the
Central Mountains. Overall, a few light snow showers cannon be
ruled out Thursday afternoon and evening north of Cottonwood
Pass, but all long range guidance is significantly less with
less than an inch. Given the more northerly track, winds do not
look quite as strong across the Plains. That being said,
temperatures will warm back into the 70s, and more widespread
elevated fire weather concerns will be possible across the
Plains.

Friday and Saturday...flat zonal flow will continue for late
into the work week into next week. The GFS is most aggressive
with another dry, upper shortwave with more wind across the
region. The ECMWF and ICON are not as impressive with with the
upper wave. Temperatures look to remain warm on Friday with 60s
and 70s across the region, while a cold front with the passing
wave lowers temperatures on Saturday a few degrees.  Mozley

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1118 AM MDT Sat Nov 1 2025

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through the next
24 hours. Light and variable winds are expected over
KALS, but expect more of a diurnal flow regime for KCOS and
KPUB.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO