520
FXUS65 KREV 022109
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
109 PM PST Sun Nov 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Breezy winds return Monday and Tuesday afternoons with light
  showers possible from NE California into far NW Nevada.

* Strong winds are increasingly probable on Wednesday with potential
  impacts to travel and recreation.

* Rain and high elevation snow is expected Wednesday into Thursday
  with lingering showers Friday. Drier weather returns next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Can`t ask for better weather to round out the weekend as today`s
highs reach the mid 60s to mid 70s beneath mostly sunny skies. Enjoy
it while it lasts because the weather becomes more unsettled this
week as a series of low pressure areas move through the northwestern
states. The first low is rather weak and quick-moving, but will
provide breezy afternoon winds and minor cooling on Monday and
Tuesday as it passes by. Winds aren`t expected to be unusually
strong, but gusts of 25-35 mph may result in some bumpy flights and
choppy lake waters. Light showers are also possible across NE
California into N Washoe County Monday night into Tuesday morning,
but little to no accumulation is expected.

Stronger low pressure pivots through the region on Wednesday, and
will bring periods of strong winds, wetting rain, and high elevation
snowfall. Our main concern with this storm will be strong winds and
attendant impacts to travel and recreation on Wednesday. A belt of
robust 40-60 kt flow aloft will overspread the region, supporting a
40-80% chance of wind gusts reaching or exceeding 45 mph regionwide.
Damaging wind gusts (58 mph or greater) are certainly attainable (10-
40% odds) given the magnitude of the low-level jet. Needless to say,
its a good bet that we`ll see wind impacts -- possibly significant --
to travel and recreation on Wednesday.

The trajectory of Wednesday`s storm will keep the region in the warm
air regime, translating to higher snow levels throughout the storm`s
duration. Thus, notable snowfall will be confined to elevations
above 8000` where odds of 6" or more of total snowfall reaches up to
90%. While this storm isn`t expected to be a prolific snow producer,
there may be some travel disruptions through Carson, Ebbetts, Tioga,
and Sonora passes. Elsewhere, wetting rain is likely along and west
of US-395 with areas to the east staying mostly dry. Rain and snow
mostly tapers off Thursday and Friday, although some lingering
showers are possible near the Oregon border and NE CA. High
pressure rebuilds across the western states, returning warm and
mostly dry weather for next weekend.

-Salas

&&

.AVIATION...

Widespread VFR conditions and light winds persist today. Winds aloft
and at the surface increase Monday (SW gusts of 20-30 kts), which
may induce some minor LLWS and mountain wave turbulence impacts.

-Salas

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$